xJawn NHL expected goals

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Model nested_structure__nested_structure_xg__d2ec2662 · in-sample canonical xg · season 2025-26 · built 2026-08-25

xG estimates chance quality for a league-average shooter vs a league-average goalie. Displayed numbers are the in-sample canonical column (used for aggregation), not a held-out performance estimate — methodology and honest limitations in how the model works.

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