xJawn NHL expected goals

← Preseason

CHI 2 3 MIN

Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

Final / OT · Sep 19, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from CHI's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = CHI power play · PK = MIN power play · Leading = CHI ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

CHI attacks◀ all strengths
MIN attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: CHI attacks the left net, MIN the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from CHI's side and mirrored for MIN: “CHI PP” shows CHI's power-play attempts on the left and MIN's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
CHI MIN
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 3
Expected goals
2.09 2.88
xG%share of xG
42% 58%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
3 1
Shots on goal
16 26
Attempts
38 60
xG by period · whole game 1st0.51.32nd1.00.63rd0.40.7OT0.20.3

The Wild beat the Blackhawks 3–2 in overtime at home, and the chances agreed: MIN out-created CHI 2.9–2.1 in expected goals. At 5v5: CHI 1.3, MIN 2.3.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative CHI − MIN xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+0.5−0.5+1−1CHI AHEAD ▲MIN AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative CHI minus MIN expected goals. Above zero CHI is ahead on chances, below zero MIN is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

CHI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Dominic ToninatoF20:17+0.59Kevin KorchinskiD25:25+0.24Dillon BoucherF14:06+0.20Landon SlaggertF16:50+0.19Ethan Del MastroD23:55+0.11Marek VanackerF14:46+0.10Brett SeneyF13:50+0.10Gavin HayesF11:33-0.01Martin MisiakF15:41-0.15Dylan AnhornD17:33-0.33Connor MackeyD16:53-0.44Jiri FelcmanF16:41-0.48Connor MylymokF11:13-0.57Jake FurlongD15:45-0.59Anthony (AJ) SpellacyF18:38-0.63Samuel SavoieF12:24-0.63Sacha BoisvertF18:03-0.65Derrick PouliotD18:21-0.69
MIN
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Olli MaattaD21:13+0.66Tyler PitlickF13:30+0.57Jagger JoshuaF12:15+0.49Nico SturmF16:16+0.43Hunter HaightF19:57+0.42Matt KierstedD18:19+0.35Mason ShawF14:04+0.30Daemon HuntD23:51+0.27Caedan BankierF15:56+0.25Carson LambosD17:04+0.22Rieger LorenzF15:33+0.21Dylan GambrellF20:11+0.20Justin KirklandF15:00+0.14Roman SchmidtD14:17+0.14Riley HeidtF13:45+0.04Nick FolignoF16:33+0.04Charlie StramelF15:49-0.09David SpacekD20:37-0.43

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

CHI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Martin MisiakJiri FelcmanMarek Vanacker9:35-0.11L2Samuel SavoieSacha BoisvertConnor Mylymok7:48-0.60L3Brett SeneyAnthony (AJ) SpellacyDillon Boucher6:39-0.23L4Dominic ToninatoLandon SlaggertGavin Hayes6:38-0.19DEFENCE PAIRSD1Ethan Del MastroKevin Korchinski19:36+0.19D2Connor MackeyDylan Anhorn14:43-0.29D3Derrick PouliotJake Furlong12:52-0.541ST2ND3RDOT011
MIN
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Dylan GambrellMason ShawHunter Haight10:41+0.27L2Tyler PitlickJustin KirklandRiley Heidt9:19+0.16L3Caedan BankierRieger LorenzJagger Joshua6:45-0.09L4Nick FolignoNico SturmCharlie Stramel6:32+0.13DEFENCE PAIRSD1Olli MaattaDaemon Hunt13:06+0.22D2Roman SchmidtCarson Lambos12:58+0.04D3Matt KierstedDavid Spacek11:29+0.001ST2ND3RDOT00.750.75

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
CHIDominic Toninato 1st12:12 0.21
CHIDillon Boucher 2nd4:19 0.19
MINRieger Lorenz 1st7:56 0.22
MINNico Sturm 3rd14:06 0.11
MINTyler Pitlick OT3:58 0.09