Elvis Merzlikins
G · Columbus Blue Jackets
2025-26 · 5v5
on-ice for◀ 5v5 offense
How to read this map
One rink, both ends while Elvis Merzlikins is on the ice: what the team generates on the left, what it concedes on the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG, summed per 60 minutes of ice time (a player's exposure is time, not games). The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league, the league baseline per team-hour at the same strength) and the markers: × goal · • on net · ◦ missed · small • blocked.
The page opens at 5v5; empty-net attempts are excluded throughout. On-ice membership comes from the shift charts; attempts without usable shift coverage are absent from both ends. Blocked-shot membership cannot be cross-checked against the play-by-play, so treat blocked-marker detail as softer than the rest.
Observed production
5v5 · on-icePercentiles rank against the other goalies over the display floor at the selected strength — a non-strength filter (rush, period, …) moves the bars but keeps that strength's spread as the backdrop.
Rolling on-ice xGF%
5v5 · on-iceModel estimates
🔒 full season · not filteredRanked against goalies; the band behind each bar is that cohort's spread (p5–p95, middle half brighter, dashed median), so where a bar lands against its band is the rank — the ordinal beside it makes that exact. The per-shot rating is quality only: it says nothing about how many attempts a player generates or faces, which is what the attempts sub-row is for.
Usage & context
descriptive · not modeledDeployment and discipline reads are skater-only: the RAPM usage fit runs on 5v5 skater stints and the penalty denominator counts skaters, so neither describes a goalie.
Full table · all numbers
| Family | Stat | Value (current slice) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed ◆ filtered | Goals on-ice for / against | 70 / 65 |
| Observed ◆ filtered | xG on-ice for / against | 60.6 / 60.4 |
| Observed ◆ filtered | Shots on-ice for / against | 635 / 632 |
| Observed ◆ filtered | Attempts on-ice for / against | 1,383 / 1,346 |
| Observed ◆ filtered | xGF% | 50.1% |
| Modeled 🔒 season | Saving — joint fit · per-shot logit | -0.02 30th pctl |
| Modeled 🔒 season | ↳ attempts (shots faced) | 15,805 70th pctl |
| Modeled 🔒 season | ↳ saving talent (per-shot logit) | -0.02 30th pctl |
| Context | Time on ice — all situations · min per game | 55:50 (32nd pctl) |
Observed values reflect the active rink filters; modeled values are fixed at their full-season fit.
On-ice numbers pair the regular-season shot set with shift-chart membership;
skaters and goalies under the display floors are fit but not shown. Modeled rows come from the
value artifact keyed to RAPM fit rapm__c5b9b663 on flat__joint_structure_xg__4f64c88b
(the joint-xg structural baseline), with ratings from
joint__baseline_xg__42ccb89b (as of 2026-06-14) —
separate surfaces from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.