xJawn NHL expected goals

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COL Gabriel Landeskog

L · career · 13 seasons · 5v5 value in goals above league average per 60

GAA/60 by season

How to read this chart

One point per season: GAA/60, the accounting sum of that season's 5v5 value — chances created (Off xG-RAPM) + chances suppressed (Def xG-RAPM) + finishing above expectation — in goals above league average per 60 minutes. The chart opens on the 3-season weighted average: each point is the ice-time-weighted average of the player's GAA/60 over that season and the two before it. A single season of RAPM is noisy (year-over-year correlation ≈ 0.5, the defensive half worse), so the smoothed line is the honest read — it answers "is this level real?" rather than "what did one 1,000-minute sample say?". The Single season toggle shows the raw per-season number instead, swings and all.

The grey bands are the league that same season, in the same view: the brighter fill is the middle half of skaters (25th–75th percentile), the faint fill the 5th–95th, the dashed line the league median — all over skaters with at least 300 minutes of 5v5 ice time (window-summed in the 3-season view). Where a point sits inside the bands is its percentile; the label above it makes it exact. Hollow points fall under the floor — they draw (the line is the career) but get no rank.

The vertical axis is GAA/60 — a linear goals-above-league-average scale, so heights add up. It opens on just the orange net line over the bands. Click Off / Def / Fin in the legend to stack that piece in: chances created and finishing (when positive) fill up from the dotted zero line, chances against fill down when a player is bleeding them, and the net line is their sum. Toggle each one independently — the line says how good, the stack says where the value came from.

Season by season

SeasonTeamTOIOffDefFinGAA/60GAA (goals)Percentile
2025-26COL982 +0.17+0.09+0.10 +0.36+5.9 94th
2024-25COL65 +0.03+0.08+0.04 +0.15+0.2
2021-22COL1,093 +0.02+0.13+0.08 +0.23+4.3 93rd
2020-21COL973 +0.05+0.05+0.08 +0.18+2.9 90th
2019-20COL962 -0.01+0.13+0.08 +0.20+3.2 93rd
2018-19COL1,350 +0.06-0.04+0.08 +0.10+2.2 79th
2017-18COL1,221 +0.00-0.00+0.06 +0.06+1.1 67th
2016-17COL988 -0.05+0.12+0.05 +0.11+1.9 83rd
2015-16COL1,024 -0.04+0.04+0.05 +0.05+0.8 69th
2014-15COL1,172 +0.05+0.01+0.06 +0.12+2.3 84th
2013-14COL1,329 +0.18+0.24+0.07 +0.49+10.8 98th
2012-13COL507 +0.05+0.11+0.07 +0.23+2.0 88th
2011-12COL1,174 +0.06+0.06+0.08 +0.21+4.1 95th

The table is always the raw single-season record — the ledger the 3-season line smooths. TOI is 5v5 minutes. GAA (goals) is the rate × that season's ice time — the season's total value in goals. Percentile is against that season's qualified skaters, single season.

GAA/60 comes from value artifact value__5766c017 (accounting layer, docs/player-value.md): single-season xG-RAPM plus the modeled finishing rating over the player's own 5v5 ice time; the 3-season view is the trailing ice-time-weighted average of those. It is a separate surface from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.