xJawn NHL expected goals

← Players · ← 2025-26 season

SEA Jordan Eberle

R · career · 16 seasons · 5v5 value in goals above league average per 60

GAA/60 by season

How to read this chart

One point per season: GAA/60, the accounting sum of that season's 5v5 value — chances created (Off xG-RAPM) + chances suppressed (Def xG-RAPM) + finishing above expectation — in goals above league average per 60 minutes. The chart opens on the 3-season weighted average: each point is the ice-time-weighted average of the player's GAA/60 over that season and the two before it. A single season of RAPM is noisy (year-over-year correlation ≈ 0.5, the defensive half worse), so the smoothed line is the honest read — it answers "is this level real?" rather than "what did one 1,000-minute sample say?". The Single season toggle shows the raw per-season number instead, swings and all.

The grey bands are the league that same season, in the same view: the brighter fill is the middle half of skaters (25th–75th percentile), the faint fill the 5th–95th, the dashed line the league median — all over skaters with at least 300 minutes of 5v5 ice time (window-summed in the 3-season view). Where a point sits inside the bands is its percentile; the label above it makes it exact. Hollow points fall under the floor — they draw (the line is the career) but get no rank.

The vertical axis is GAA/60 — a linear goals-above-league-average scale, so heights add up. It opens on just the orange net line over the bands. Click Off / Def / Fin in the legend to stack that piece in: chances created and finishing (when positive) fill up from the dotted zero line, chances against fill down when a player is bleeding them, and the net line is their sum. Toggle each one independently — the line says how good, the stack says where the value came from.

Season by season

SeasonTeamTOIOffDefFinGAA/60GAA (goals)Percentile
2025-26SEA1,156 +0.01+0.07+0.04 +0.12+2.4 72nd
2024-25SEA540 +0.20-0.02+0.05 +0.22+2.0 86th
2023-24SEA1,085 +0.31+0.13+0.05 +0.50+9.0 98th
2022-23SEA1,305 +0.08-0.12+0.05 +0.01+0.3 54th
2021-22SEA1,120 -0.02-0.03+0.05 -0.01-0.1 49th
2020-21NYI997 +0.13+0.03+0.05 +0.22+3.6 94th
2019-20NYI1,109 +0.22+0.03+0.06 +0.30+5.6 97th
2018-19NYI1,116 +0.12-0.12+0.05 +0.06+1.0 69th
2017-18NYI1,083 +0.24-0.05+0.05 +0.24+4.3 95th
2016-17EDM1,282 +0.10-0.06+0.05 +0.10+2.1 81st
2015-16EDM971 +0.19-0.11+0.05 +0.13+2.1 85th
2014-15EDM1,241 +0.05-0.03+0.04 +0.06+1.2 70th
2013-14EDM1,174 +0.23-0.27+0.05 +0.01+0.1 55th
2012-13EDM709 +0.33+0.02+0.06 +0.41+4.8 98th
2011-12EDM1,064 +0.15-0.13+0.05 +0.06+1.1 74th
2010-11EDM949 +0.09-0.09+0.05 +0.05+0.8 71st

The table is always the raw single-season record — the ledger the 3-season line smooths. TOI is 5v5 minutes. GAA (goals) is the rate × that season's ice time — the season's total value in goals. Percentile is against that season's qualified skaters, single season.

GAA/60 comes from value artifact value__5766c017 (accounting layer, docs/player-value.md): single-season xG-RAPM plus the modeled finishing rating over the player's own 5v5 ice time; the 3-season view is the trailing ice-time-weighted average of those. It is a separate surface from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.