xJawn NHL expected goals

← Players · ← 2025-26 season

DAL Jamie Benn

L · career · 16 seasons · 5v5 value in goals above league average per 60

GAA/60 by season

How to read this chart

One point per season: GAA/60, the accounting sum of that season's 5v5 value — chances created (Off xG-RAPM) + chances suppressed (Def xG-RAPM) + finishing above expectation — in goals above league average per 60 minutes. The chart opens on the 3-season weighted average: each point is the ice-time-weighted average of the player's GAA/60 over that season and the two before it. A single season of RAPM is noisy (year-over-year correlation ≈ 0.5, the defensive half worse), so the smoothed line is the honest read — it answers "is this level real?" rather than "what did one 1,000-minute sample say?". The Single season toggle shows the raw per-season number instead, swings and all.

The grey bands are the league that same season, in the same view: the brighter fill is the middle half of skaters (25th–75th percentile), the faint fill the 5th–95th, the dashed line the league median — all over skaters with at least 300 minutes of 5v5 ice time (window-summed in the 3-season view). Where a point sits inside the bands is its percentile; the label above it makes it exact. Hollow points fall under the floor — they draw (the line is the career) but get no rank.

The vertical axis is GAA/60 — a linear goals-above-league-average scale, so heights add up. It opens on just the orange net line over the bands. Click Off / Def / Fin in the legend to stack that piece in: chances created and finishing (when positive) fill up from the dotted zero line, chances against fill down when a player is bleeding them, and the net line is their sum. Toggle each one independently — the line says how good, the stack says where the value came from.

Season by season

SeasonTeamTOIOffDefFinGAA/60GAA (goals)Percentile
2025-26DAL750 -0.09-0.01+0.07 -0.02-0.3 45th
2024-25DAL1,147 +0.15-0.25+0.09 -0.01-0.2 50th
2023-24DAL1,160 +0.12-0.10+0.08 +0.10+2.0 68th
2022-23DAL1,120 +0.22-0.14+0.09 +0.17+3.1 78th
2021-22DAL1,136 +0.05-0.09+0.09 +0.05+0.9 65th
2020-21DAL700 +0.06+0.05+0.07 +0.19+2.2 91st
2019-20DAL1,114 +0.12+0.05+0.09 +0.26+4.8 95th
2018-19DAL1,311 +0.09-0.06+0.09 +0.13+2.9 85th
2017-18DAL1,164 +0.09+0.09+0.09 +0.27+5.2 96th
2016-17DAL1,068 -0.03-0.09+0.07 -0.05-1.0 35th
2015-16DAL1,354 +0.14-0.07+0.09 +0.17+3.7 91st
2014-15DAL1,121 +0.22-0.06+0.11 +0.27+5.1 97th
2013-14DAL1,164 +0.36-0.03+0.11 +0.44+8.5 97th
2012-13DAL621 +0.08-0.27+0.08 -0.11-1.1 30th
2011-12DAL992 +0.08+0.05+0.10 +0.23+3.7 96th
2010-11DAL914 +0.02+0.03+0.09 +0.14+2.2 87th

The table is always the raw single-season record — the ledger the 3-season line smooths. TOI is 5v5 minutes. GAA (goals) is the rate × that season's ice time — the season's total value in goals. Percentile is against that season's qualified skaters, single season.

GAA/60 comes from value artifact value__5766c017 (accounting layer, docs/player-value.md): single-season xG-RAPM plus the modeled finishing rating over the player's own 5v5 ice time; the 3-season view is the trailing ice-time-weighted average of those. It is a separate surface from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.