xJawn NHL expected goals

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TBL Tampa Bay Lightning

2025-26 · regular season · Atlantic · 82 GP

Record
50-26-6
Points
106(2nd Atlantic)
xGF% 5v5
55.5%(91st)
GF / GA 5v5
195 / 152
Finishing 5v5
+15.6
Defense 5v5
-8.1

xG shot map

How to read this map

One rink: offense left, defense right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG, summed per game. The controls below the filters switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league, the latter as a % change or absolute Δ xG/game) and the markers: × goal · on net · missed · small blocked — blocked are in the surface but hidden from the markers by default (+ blocked adds them).

The page opens at 5v5. Empty-net attempts are excluded from every view: the strength buckets segregate them (an empty-net shot is never 5v5, PP, or PK), so the empty net toggle only bites on all strengths — it is disabled otherwise. Finishing is GF − xGF; Defense is its mirror, xGA − GA. Both are signed so positive is good, and both are mostly shooting/goaltending luck on top of a lot of noise.

shots for◀ 5v5 offense
shots against5v5 defense ▶
Goals56.2%195
43.8%152
xG55.5%179.4
44.5%143.9
xG/6055.5%2.75
44.5%2.20
Shots51.4%1,757
48.6%1,658
Attempts53.2%3,846
46.8%3,377

Rolling xGF%

Strength splits

Rates are per 60 minutes at that strength (real time-on-ice), not per game — so a team's PP xGF/60 is what it generates per hour of power play.

StrengthTOI/gmxGFxGAxGF%xGF/60xGA/60GFGA
5v547.8 179.4143.955.5% 2.752.20195152
Power play5.6 64.24.393.8% 8.440.56564
Penalty kill5.7 4.957.97.8% 0.647.49550