xJawn NHL expected goals

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BUF Buffalo Sabres

2025-26 · regular season · Atlantic · 82 GP

Record
50-23-9
Points
109(1st Atlantic)
xGF% 5v5
51.4%(72nd)
GF / GA 5v5
194 / 156
Finishing 5v5
+23.3
Defense 5v5
+5.6

xG shot map

How to read this map

One rink: offense left, defense right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG, summed per game. The controls below the filters switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league, the latter as a % change or absolute Δ xG/game) and the markers: × goal · on net · missed · small blocked — blocked are in the surface but hidden from the markers by default (+ blocked adds them).

The page opens at 5v5. Empty-net attempts are excluded from every view: the strength buckets segregate them (an empty-net shot is never 5v5, PP, or PK), so the empty net toggle only bites on all strengths — it is disabled otherwise. Finishing is GF − xGF; Defense is its mirror, xGA − GA. Both are signed so positive is good, and both are mostly shooting/goaltending luck on top of a lot of noise.

shots for◀ 5v5 offense
shots against5v5 defense ▶
Goals55.4%194
44.6%156
xG51.4%170.7
48.6%161.6
xG/6051.4%2.59
48.6%2.45
Shots50.0%1,815
50.0%1,814
Attempts49.3%3,717
50.7%3,824

Rolling xGF%

Strength splits

Rates are per 60 minutes at that strength (real time-on-ice), not per game — so a team's PP xGF/60 is what it generates per hour of power play.

StrengthTOI/gmxGFxGAxGF%xGF/60xGA/60GFGA
5v548.2 170.7161.651.4% 2.592.45194156
Power play5.4 53.44.891.8% 7.290.65505
Penalty kill5.5 4.560.66.9% 0.608.05949