xJawn NHL expected goals

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CHI 0 – 1 STL

Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

Final · Sep 24, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from CHI's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = CHI power play · PK = STL power play · Leading = CHI ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

CHI attacks◀ all strengths
STL attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: CHI attacks the left net, STL the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from CHI's side and mirrored for STL: “CHI PP” shows CHI's power-play attempts on the left and STL's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
CHI STL
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
0 1
Expected goals
1.34 3.07
xG%share of xG
30% 70%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
0 0
Shots on goal
17 36
Attempts
30 57
xG by period · whole game 1st0.4–0.92nd0.6–0.93rd0.3–1.2

The Blues beat the Blackhawks 1–0 at home, and the chances agreed: STL out-created CHI 3.1–1.3 in expected goals. The Blues power play made 0.9 xG on 14 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative CHI − STL xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5+2−2CHI AHEAD ▲STL AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative CHI minus STL expected goals. Above zero CHI is ahead on chances, below zero STL is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

CHI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Roman KantserovF20:42+0.36Patrick KaneF19:39+0.29Oliver MooreF13:10+0.28Frank NazarF21:25-0.12Kevin KorchinskiD15:12-0.19Sacha BoisvertF9:13-0.24Nick LardisF12:51-0.33Anthony (AJ) SpellacyF8:34-0.38Dillon BoucherF7:48-0.42Connor MackeyD9:38-0.56Connor MylymokF8:37-0.63Landon SlaggertF11:43-0.72Wyatt KaiserD24:30-0.73Ryan GreeneF17:21-0.75Ethan Del MastroD18:07-0.76Artyom LevshunovD24:43-0.82Sam RinzelD21:40-0.84Anton FrondellF21:53-0.87
STL
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Cam FowlerD25:24+1.44Pavel BuchnevichF19:04+1.08Connor McMichaelF18:24+0.95Dalibor DvorskyF17:27+0.93Aleksanteri KaskimakiF15:18+0.80Brandon CarloD15:32+0.70Jake NeighboursF18:11+0.61Zach DeanF13:23+0.60Oskar SundqvistF11:58+0.55Nathan WalkerF13:08+0.53Calle RosenD17:07+0.46Adam JiricekD17:04+0.44Dillon DubeF16:09+0.25Dylan PetersonF12:46+0.13Ross JohnstonF8:57+0.06Theo LindsteinD18:25-0.00Jack FinleyF11:16-0.33Colton ParaykoD20:27-0.35

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

CHI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Patrick KaneFrank NazarRoman Kantserov14:43+0.20L2Ryan GreeneNick LardisAnton Frondell7:08-0.67L3Sacha BoisvertConnor MylymokDillon Boucher6:01-0.42L4Landon SlaggertOliver MooreAnthony (AJ) Spellacy4:50-0.06DEFENCE PAIRSD1Wyatt KaiserArtyom Levshunov18:14-0.86D2Ethan Del MastroKevin Korchinski9:02-0.06D3Connor MackeySam Rinzel6:26-0.491ST2ND3RD01.251.25
STL
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Pavel BuchnevichConnor McMichaelZach Dean7:34+0.32L2Dillon DubeJake NeighboursDalibor Dvorsky5:54+0.12L3Ross JohnstonJack FinleyDylan Peterson5:40+0.02L4Oskar SundqvistNathan WalkerAleksanteri Kaskimaki5:39+0.68DEFENCE PAIRSD1Colton ParaykoTheo Lindstein14:38-0.02D2Calle RosenAdam Jiricek14:14+0.42D3Cam FowlerBrandon Carlo13:34+0.731ST2ND3RD01.251.25

Matchups

5v5 · every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
CHI won the chances STL won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
SoderblomKaneNazarKantserovGreeneLardisFrondellBoisvertMylymokBoucherSlaggertMoore(AJ) SpellacyKaiserLevshunovDel MastroKorchinskiMackeyRinzelBinningtonBuchnevichMcMichaelDeanDubeNeighboursDvorskyJohnstonFinleyPetersonSundqvistWalkerKaskimakiParaykoLindsteinRosenJiricekFowlerCarloGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3
How to read this

Rows are CHI's skaters, columns STL's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
STLCalle Rosen 3rd3:39 0.09