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EDM 2 – 1 WPG

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

Final / OT · Sep 22, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from EDM's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = EDM power play · PK = WPG power play · Leading = EDM ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

EDM attacks◀ all strengths
WPG attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: EDM attacks the left net, WPG the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from EDM's side and mirrored for WPG: “EDM PP” shows EDM's power-play attempts on the left and WPG's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
EDM WPG
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 1
Expected goals
2.19 1.61
xG%share of xG
58% 42%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
3 1
Shots on goal
23 18
Attempts
50 51
xG by period · whole game 1st0.7–0.62nd1.0–0.43rd0.3–0.6OT0.2–0.0

The Oilers beat the Jets 2–1 in overtime on the road in a game the chances called about even, EDM 2.2 to WPG 1.6 in expected goals. At 5v5: EDM 1.7, WPG 1.3.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative EDM − WPG xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+0.5−0.5+1−1EDM AHEAD ▲WPG AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative EDM minus WPG expected goals. Above zero EDM is ahead on chances, below zero WPG is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

EDM
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Viljami MarjalaF14:18+0.59Quinn HutsonF12:33+0.51Trent FredericF14:21+0.38Kasperi KapanenF17:45+0.20Atro LeppanenD15:53+0.19Simon TassyF9:04+0.19Damien CarfagnaD16:34+0.19Jake WalmanD19:42+0.10Josh SamanskiF11:37+0.02Shakir MukhamadullinD18:58-0.01Connor MurphyD20:13-0.03Joshua BrownD15:53-0.03Eduards TralmaksF9:43-0.04Aku RatyF9:56-0.06Owen MichaelsF12:43-0.14Zach HymanF16:27-0.16Isaac HowardF14:41-0.19Ryan Nugent-HopkinsF18:06-0.20
WPG
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Nino NiederreiterF15:03+0.76Alex IafalloF13:43+0.60Brayden YagerF16:48+0.52Neal PionkD24:23+0.23Isaak PhillipsD13:04+0.21Alfons FreijD13:16+0.15Brad LambertF15:29+0.08Dylan SambergD19:58+0.08Adam LowryF14:51-0.04Morgan BarronF15:34-0.07Kevin HeF11:40-0.23Lucas WahlinF12:00-0.24Colby BarlowF11:21-0.31Nikita ChibrikovF13:03-0.51Parker FordF13:05-0.56Haydn FleuryD18:06-0.60Danil ZhilkinF11:09-0.61Tyrel BauerD16:03-0.73

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

EDM
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Zach HymanRyan Nugent-HopkinsIsaac Howard12:20-0.20L2Aku RatyOwen MichaelsSimon Tassy8:11-0.07L3Kasperi KapanenTrent FredericJosh Samanski7:45+0.06L4Eduards TralmaksViljami MarjalaQuinn Hutson7:05-0.08DEFENCE PAIRSD1Connor MurphyJake Walman15:45-0.07D2Damien CarfagnaAtro Leppanen14:53+0.16D3Joshua BrownShakir Mukhamadullin14:46-0.031ST2ND3RDOT011
WPG
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Colby BarlowKevin HeLucas Wahlin10:01-0.29L2Adam LowryMorgan BarronBrad Lambert9:42-0.01L3Nino NiederreiterAlex IafalloBrayden Yager9:25+0.74L4Nikita ChibrikovDanil ZhilkinParker Ford8:41-0.55DEFENCE PAIRSD1Dylan SambergNeal Pionk16:36+0.07D2Haydn FleuryTyrel Bauer14:00-0.71D3Isaak PhillipsAlfons Freij10:32+0.191ST2ND3RDOT011

Matchups

5v5 · every skater against every skater · hover a cell
EDM won the chances WPG won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more on together, dead even never on together
HymanNugent-HopkinsHowardRatyMichaelsTassyKapanenFredericSamanskiTralmaksMarjalaHutsonMurphyWalmanCarfagnaLeppanenBrownMukhamadullinBarlowHeWahlinLowryBarronLambertNiederreiterIafalloYagerChibrikovZhilkinFordSambergPionkFleuryBauerPhillipsFreijL1L2L3L4D1D2D3L1L2L3L4D1D2D3
How to read this

Rows are EDM's skaters, columns WPG's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open one means they never met at five-on-five.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not. Hover (or tap) any cell for the time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
EDMAtro Leppanen 1st15:50 0.01
EDMViljami Marjala OT1:26 0.16
WPGAlex Iafallo 1st13:04 0.09