xJawn NHL expected goals

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MIN 3 – 4 CHI

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

Final / OT · Sep 21, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

On the ice
Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from MIN's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = MIN power play · PK = CHI power play · Leading = MIN ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

MIN attacks◀ all strengths
CHI attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: MIN attacks the left net, CHI the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 283 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from MIN's side and mirrored for CHI: “MIN PP” shows MIN's power-play attempts on the left and CHI's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · this game
MIN CHI
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
3 4
Expected goals
2.12 1.60
xG%share of xG
57% 43%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 1
Shots on goal
22 20
Attempts
48 48
xG by period · whole game 1st0.7–0.62nd0.6–0.53rd0.9–0.4OT0.0–0.1

The Blackhawks beat the Wild 4–3 in overtime at home in a game the chances called about even, MIN 2.1 to CHI 1.6 in expected goals. CHI scored 4 on 1.6 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

all situations · this game
cumulative MIN − CHI xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+0.5−0.5+1−1MIN AHEAD ▲CHI AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative MIN minus CHI expected goals. Above zero MIN is ahead on chances, below zero CHI is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Goals

this game
xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
MINBobby Brink 1st0:15 0.04
MINMaxim Shabanov 3rd4:07 0.07
MINBobby Brink 3rd11:29 0.14
CHINick Lardis 1st8:40 0.33
CHIBowen Byram 2nd2:48 0.07
CHIBowen Byram 3rd0:24 PP 0.04
CHIBowen Byram OT0:29 0.08
Who

Skaters

all · whole game · this game
on-ice xG for and against, his own attempts, the net
strength
period
sort
How to read this

Every skater: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time. The chart opens sorted by net, best first; pick another key to re-order it, and click the same key again to flip it. A name opens the player's page. Pick a period and every bar re-lays for that period alone on the same scale as the whole game, so the three periods add up to it; a skater who did not play in it fades to the bottom.

MIN
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Ben DexheimerD18:25+0.84Matt KierstedD18:31+0.79Danila YurovF14:49+0.50Bobby BrinkF16:15+0.50Maxim ShabanovF18:08+0.40Carson LambosD18:16+0.38Justin KirklandF13:59+0.34Mason ShawF15:15+0.33Yakov TreninF17:56+0.31Viking Gustafsson NybergD18:57+0.24Michael McCarronF18:07+0.02Rieger LorenzF14:48-0.05David SpacekD21:21-0.08Hunter HaightF15:25-0.13Rasmus KumpulainenF11:22-0.16Riley HeidtF13:29-0.20Charlie StramelF13:25-0.49Daemon HuntD20:59-0.71
0.50.5111.51.50Ben DexheimerD18:21+0.84Matt KierstedD18:26+0.79Bobby BrinkF13:20+0.53Danila YurovF11:32+0.51Maxim ShabanovF15:25+0.47Carson LambosD17:36+0.38Justin KirklandF13:59+0.34Mason ShawF15:00+0.33Yakov TreninF14:27+0.29Viking Gustafsson NybergD18:15+0.24Michael McCarronF15:30+0.06David SpacekD17:42-0.03Rieger LorenzF14:44-0.05Hunter HaightF13:02-0.06Rasmus KumpulainenF11:22-0.16Riley HeidtF11:49-0.20Charlie StramelF11:53-0.49Daemon HuntD17:37-0.53
0.250.250Bobby BrinkF2:26+0.05Danila YurovF2:26+0.05Yakov TreninF2:25+0.05David SpacekD2:24+0.05Maxim ShabanovF2:18+0.05Riley HeidtF1:40+0.00Michael McCarronF1:37+0.00Daemon HuntD1:36+0.00Hunter HaightF1:34+0.00Charlie StramelF1:32+0.00Viking Gustafsson NybergD0:02+0.00
0.250.250Carson LambosD0:40+0.00Viking Gustafsson NybergD0:40+0.00Mason ShawF0:15+0.00Matt KierstedD0:05+0.00Rieger LorenzF0:04+0.00Ben DexheimerD0:04+0.00Yakov TreninF1:04-0.04Michael McCarronF0:56-0.04Danila YurovF0:51-0.07Hunter HaightF0:49-0.07Daemon HuntD1:17-0.10David SpacekD1:15-0.10
CHI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Nick LardisF15:58+0.31Oliver MooreF15:31+0.25Bowen ByramD23:31+0.23Andrew MangiapaneF15:37+0.15Sam RinzelD16:59+0.13Cole SmithF11:26-0.02Ian ColeD16:46-0.02Ryan GreeneF13:09-0.07Ryan DonatoF14:43-0.11Jordan GreenwayF11:58-0.16Anton FrondellF17:20-0.22Tyler BertuzziF16:26-0.29Alex VlasicD22:17-0.38Frank NazarF16:09-0.41Roman KantserovF14:42-0.45Artyom LevshunovD19:13-0.46Teuvo TeravainenF16:00-0.47Wyatt KaiserD19:53-0.68
0.50.5110Oliver MooreF14:20+0.18Nick LardisF14:35+0.16Andrew MangiapaneF14:32+0.15Bowen ByramD21:41+0.11Sam RinzelD15:31+0.06Ian ColeD13:42+0.03Cole SmithF10:01+0.01Ryan GreeneF11:50-0.03Jordan GreenwayF11:25-0.14Ryan DonatoF13:50-0.18Anton FrondellF14:47-0.31Tyler BertuzziF15:19-0.32Alex VlasicD20:27-0.36Artyom LevshunovD18:14-0.46Frank NazarF13:53-0.49Roman KantserovF13:38-0.49Teuvo TeravainenF13:57-0.50Wyatt KaiserD18:29-0.68
0.250.250Frank NazarF0:54+0.10Nick LardisF0:54+0.07Ryan DonatoF0:53+0.07Oliver MooreF0:53+0.07Sam RinzelD0:39+0.07Bowen ByramD1:21+0.04Tyler BertuzziF1:07+0.04Teuvo TeravainenF1:06+0.04Roman KantserovF1:04+0.04Anton FrondellF1:06+0.00Wyatt KaiserD0:03+0.00
0.250.250Wyatt KaiserD1:21+0.00Andrew MangiapaneF1:05+0.00Artyom LevshunovD0:59+0.00Anton FrondellF0:58+0.00Teuvo TeravainenF0:57+0.00Sam RinzelD0:49+0.00Oliver MooreF0:18+0.00Frank NazarF1:22-0.02Jordan GreenwayF0:33-0.02Cole SmithF1:25-0.03Ryan GreeneF1:19-0.03Ian ColeD3:04-0.05Alex VlasicD1:50-0.05

Lines & pairs

all · whole game · this game
most-used units · when they played · on-ice xG lines are by strength · 5v5 shown
strength
period
sort
How to read this

The units that actually played together most at the chosen strength — forward lines and defence pairs at 5v5, the whole group on the ice on the power play or the kill — each with when it was on the ice at that strength across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against / for while the whole unit was out, at that strength only. Sorted by time together; pick another key to re-order, and a name opens the player's page. Pick a period and the strip veils the rest of the game while the bars re-lay for that period alone, on the whole game's scale.

MIN
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
CHI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF

Matchups

5v5 · this game
every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
order
MIN won the chances CHI won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
KnightBertuzziLardisFrondellTeravainenNazarKantserovDonatoMangiapaneMooreGreenwaySmithGreeneByramVlasicKaiserLevshunovColeRinzelGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3PickardBrinkYurovShabanovMcCarronKirklandTreninHeidtKumpulainenStramelShawHaightLorenzKierstedDexheimerLambosGustafsson NybergHuntSpacek
How to read this

Rows are MIN's skaters, columns CHI's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.