xJawn NHL expected goals

← Preseason

Save a card: Summary · Full card · Game flow · MIN skaters · CHI skaters · MIN lines · CHI lines

MIN 3 4 CHI

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

Final / OT · Sep 21, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from MIN's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = MIN power play · PK = CHI power play · Leading = MIN ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

MIN attacks◀ all strengths
CHI attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: MIN attacks the left net, CHI the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from MIN's side and mirrored for CHI: “MIN PP” shows MIN's power-play attempts on the left and CHI's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
MIN CHI
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
3 4
Expected goals
2.11 1.58
xG%share of xG
57% 43%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 1
Shots on goal
22 20
Attempts
48 48
xG by period · whole game 1st0.70.62nd0.60.53rd0.90.4OT0.00.1

The Blackhawks beat the Wild 4–3 in overtime at home in a game the chances called about even, MIN 2.1 to CHI 1.6 in expected goals. CHI scored 4 on 1.6 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative MIN − CHI xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+0.5−0.5+1−1MIN AHEAD ▲CHI AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative MIN minus CHI expected goals. Above zero MIN is ahead on chances, below zero CHI is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

MIN
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Ben DexheimerD11:06+0.71Matt KierstedD11:43+0.66Mason ShawF9:55+0.41Bobby BrinkF12:07+0.27Maxim ShabanovF12:13+0.23Danila YurovF12:20+0.20Rieger LorenzF9:25+0.12Yakov TreninF12:55+0.01Viking Gustafsson NybergD13:06-0.07Hunter HaightF10:04-0.08Carson LambosD12:17-0.08Justin KirklandF8:21-0.15Rasmus KumpulainenF7:23-0.18Riley HeidtF8:42-0.20David SpacekD14:20-0.20Michael McCarronF10:37-0.34Charlie StramelF8:51-0.40Daemon HuntD14:16-0.59
CHI
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.750Nick LardisF9:58+0.42Sam RinzelD10:33+0.29Oliver MooreF11:19+0.29Andrew MangiapaneF10:33+0.23Bowen ByramD15:37+0.23Ian ColeD10:09+0.19Anton FrondellF10:49+0.03Tyler BertuzziF10:24+0.01Ryan DonatoF9:27-0.02Frank NazarF11:57-0.14Jordan GreenwayF6:59-0.14Ryan GreeneF8:02-0.15Cole SmithF7:01-0.15Alex VlasicD15:11-0.17Roman KantserovF10:33-0.19Teuvo TeravainenF11:58-0.20Artyom LevshunovD13:01-0.29Wyatt KaiserD14:29-0.42

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

MIN
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Bobby BrinkDanila YurovMaxim Shabanov10:32+0.27L2Michael McCarronJustin KirklandYakov Trenin5:24-0.13L3Mason ShawHunter HaightRieger Lorenz5:03-0.03L4Riley HeidtRasmus KumpulainenCharlie Stramel4:49-0.22DEFENCE PAIRSD1Carson LambosViking Gustafsson Nyberg11:47-0.07D2Daemon HuntDavid Spacek11:08-0.27D3Matt KierstedBen Dexheimer10:42+0.641ST2ND3RDOT011
CHI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Teuvo TeravainenFrank NazarRoman Kantserov8:09-0.19L2Tyler BertuzziNick LardisAnton Frondell7:39+0.01L3Ryan DonatoAndrew MangiapaneOliver Moore7:22-0.11L4Jordan GreenwayCole SmithRyan Greene5:00-0.12DEFENCE PAIRSD1Wyatt KaiserArtyom Levshunov12:31-0.29D2Bowen ByramAlex Vlasic11:52-0.11D3Ian ColeSam Rinzel6:43+0.131ST2ND3RDOT00.50.5

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
MINBobby Brink 1st0:15 0.04
MINMaxim Shabanov 3rd4:07 0.07
MINBobby Brink 3rd11:29 0.14
CHINick Lardis 1st8:40 0.33
CHIBowen Byram 2nd2:48 0.07
CHIBowen Byram 3rd0:24 PP 0.04
CHIBowen Byram OT0:29 0.08