xJawn NHL expected goals

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WSH 2 3 BOS

Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins

Final / SO · Sep 20, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from WSH's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = WSH power play · PK = BOS power play · Leading = WSH ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

WSH attacks◀ all strengths
BOS attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: WSH attacks the left net, BOS the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from WSH's side and mirrored for BOS: “WSH PP” shows WSH's power-play attempts on the left and BOS's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
WSH BOS
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 2
Expected goals
7.20 3.67
xG%share of xG
66% 34%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
10 2
Shots on goal
31 30
Attempts
74 58
xG by period · whole game 1st1.90.72nd0.31.83rd1.61.2OT3.50.0

The Bruins beat the Capitals 3–2 in a shootout at home despite being out-created 7.2–3.7 in expected goals. That is a finishing-and-goaltending win. The Capitals power play made 5.2 xG on 36 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative WSH − BOS xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+1−1+2−2+3−3+4−4WSH AHEAD ▲BOS AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative WSH minus BOS expected goals. Above zero WSH is ahead on chances, below zero BOS is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

WSH
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5222.52.50Jonny BrodzinskiF11:11+1.50Jakob ChychrunD20:48+1.32Ivan MiroshnichenkoF11:23+1.19Boone JennerF15:47+0.97Tom WilsonF17:15+0.63Anthony BeauvillierF13:45+0.47Pierre-Luc DuboisF14:11+0.42Justin SourdifF19:36+0.39Alex TuchF16:22+0.25Petr SikoraF7:41+0.07Lynden LakovicF9:46+0.05Cole HutsonD19:16-0.24Bogdan TrineyevF12:11-0.51Josh DunneF9:47-0.73Dylan McIlrathD13:41-0.81Matt RoyD17:52-0.90Vincent DesharnaisD17:02-1.00Justin HollD15:18-1.02
BOS
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5222.52.50James HagensF18:27+1.36Fraser MintenF19:04+1.16Marat KhusnutdinovF17:18+0.95Matthew PoitrasF14:14+0.70Lukas ReichelF12:32+0.70Attilio BiascaF11:02+0.69Alex SteevesF17:02+0.65Joey AbateF9:24+0.45Mason LohreiD15:28+0.27Frederic BrunetD18:09+0.25Henri JokiharjuD18:58+0.24Charlie McAvoyD22:43+0.18Jordan HarrisD15:57-0.12Mark KastelicF12:11-0.24Sean KuralyF11:43-0.41Jake SchmaltzF8:29-0.77Riley DuranF10:17-0.78Jonathan AspirotD13:43-2.15

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

WSH
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Tom WilsonAlex TuchPierre-Luc Dubois8:42+0.76L2Bogdan TrineyevPetr SikoraLynden Lakovic6:14+0.07L3Boone JennerAnthony BeauvillierJustin Sourdif6:10-0.01L4Jonny BrodzinskiJosh DunneIvan Miroshnichenko5:49+0.11DEFENCE PAIRSD1Justin HollDylan McIlrath10:04-0.49D2Matt RoyJakob Chychrun9:58-0.32D3Vincent DesharnaisCole Hutson9:38-0.321ST2ND3RDOT011
BOS
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Marat KhusnutdinovFraser MintenJames Hagens13:43+1.21L2Lukas ReichelMatthew PoitrasAttilio Biasca9:36+0.69L3Sean KuralyMark KastelicAlex Steeves7:13-0.12L4Jake SchmaltzRiley DuranJoey Abate6:23+0.08DEFENCE PAIRSD1Charlie McAvoyFrederic Brunet13:42+0.34D2Henri JokiharjuJordan Harris10:56+0.71D3Jonathan AspirotMason Lohrei8:04+0.121ST2ND3RDOT01.51.5

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
WSHJonny Brodzinski 1st8:48 0.13
WSHIvan Miroshnichenko 3rd5:34 0.17
BOSJake Schmaltz 2nd15:32 PP 0.16
BOSCharlie McAvoy 3rd18:17 PP 0.03