xJawn NHL expected goals

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NYI 1 2 NJD

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

Final · Sep 20, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from NYI's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = NYI power play · PK = NJD power play · Leading = NYI ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

NYI attacks◀ all strengths
NJD attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: NYI attacks the left net, NJD the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from NYI's side and mirrored for NJD: “NYI PP” shows NYI's power-play attempts on the left and NJD's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
NYI NJD
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
1 2
Expected goals
1.50 2.97
xG%share of xG
34% 66%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 2
Shots on goal
22 22
Attempts
46 52
xG by period · whole game 1st0.70.42nd0.51.83rd0.30.8

The Devils beat the Islanders 2–1 at home, and the chances agreed: NJD out-created NYI 3.0–1.5 in expected goals. The Islanders power play made 0.8 xG on 16 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative NYI − NJD xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5+2−2NYI AHEAD ▲NJD AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative NYI minus NJD expected goals. Above zero NYI is ahead on chances, below zero NJD is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

NYI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Calum RitchieF16:57+0.43Victor EklundF16:30+0.43Vladimír DraveckýD16:00+0.28Cole EisermanF16:32+0.12Tomas PoletinF9:34-0.13Ondrej PalatF15:28-0.13Gleb VeremyevF10:32-0.17Marshall WarrenD15:34-0.19Luca RomanoF11:48-0.28Daniil ProkhorovF12:21-0.30Joey LarsonF11:16-0.40Liam FoudyF12:22-0.46Kashawn AitchesonD20:35-0.49Pierre EngvallF14:28-0.51Ethan BearD14:57-0.59Isaiah GeorgeD17:34-0.87Matthew HighmoreF12:17-0.98Matthew KesselD19:40-1.11
NJD
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Riley TufteF13:29+0.99Connor BrownF17:13+0.84Vladislav KolyachonokD15:13+0.70Xavier ParentF9:10+0.65Anton SilaevD14:54+0.60Matyas MelovskyF12:26+0.50Amadeus LombardiF17:48+0.46Lenni HameenahoF15:20+0.45Seamus CaseyD17:06+0.44Ben SteevesF12:00+0.42Cody GlassF18:01+0.36Ethan EdwardsD17:45+0.35Colin WhiteF11:44+0.29Declan ChisholmD21:51+0.15Cam SquiresF11:39+0.02Shane LachanceF10:01-0.02Ryan SchmelzerF9:13-0.04Brenden DillonD18:53-0.40

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

NYI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Ondrej PalatCalum RitchieVictor Eklund12:43+0.26L2Liam FoudyDaniil ProkhorovJoey Larson8:37-0.24L3Pierre EngvallMatthew HighmoreCole Eiserman7:51-0.51L4Luca RomanoTomas PoletinGleb Veremyev7:01-0.20DEFENCE PAIRSD1Matthew KesselIsaiah George15:56-0.98D2Ethan BearKashawn Aitcheson14:17-0.49D3Marshall WarrenVladimír Dravecký9:43-0.291ST2ND3RD01.251.25
NJD
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Connor BrownCody GlassAmadeus Lombardi9:29+0.66L2Colin WhiteRiley TufteLenni Hameenaho6:32+0.33L3Xavier ParentMatyas MelovskyBen Steeves5:10+0.24L4Ryan SchmelzerShane LachanceCam Squires4:26+0.00DEFENCE PAIRSD1Brenden DillonDeclan Chisholm16:40-0.34D2Ethan EdwardsSeamus Casey14:37+0.32D3Vladislav KolyachonokAnton Silaev13:29+0.651ST2ND3RD011

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
NYICole Eiserman 2nd0:55 PP 0.10
NJDRyan Schmelzer 2nd3:59 0.10
NJDConnor Brown 3rd7:53 0.14