xJawn NHL expected goals

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DAL 2 1 STL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

Final · Sep 19, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from DAL's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = DAL power play · PK = STL power play · Leading = DAL ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

DAL attacks◀ all strengths
STL attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: DAL attacks the left net, STL the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from DAL's side and mirrored for STL: “DAL PP” shows DAL's power-play attempts on the left and STL's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
DAL STL
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 1
Expected goals
2.36 2.56
xG%share of xG
48% 52%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
2 3
Shots on goal
28 24
Attempts
50 58
xG by period · whole game 1st1.00.42nd0.51.13rd0.91.1

The Stars beat the Blues 2–1 on the road in a game the chances called about even, DAL 2.4 to STL 2.6 in expected goals. The Stars power play made 0.8 xG on 13 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative DAL − STL xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1DAL AHEAD ▲STL AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative DAL minus STL expected goals. Above zero DAL is ahead on chances, below zero STL is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

DAL
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Trey TaylorD21:49+0.64Kyle BurroughsD18:34+0.46Artem ShlaineF18:18+0.45Arttu HyryF18:51+0.41Kyle CapobiancoD22:06+0.16Matthew SeminoffF16:36+0.04Emil HemmingF16:29+0.02Justin ErtelF10:40+0.02Cameron HughesF15:59+0.00Curtis McKenzieF10:48-0.02Michael SgarbossaF17:11-0.07Jack AndersonD18:05-0.15Christian FitzgeraldF10:56-0.17Charlie PaquetteF12:49-0.21Dylan HryckowianF18:27-0.25Jack BeckerF10:34-0.49Ben GleasonD21:45-0.80Jakub VaněčekD14:03-0.99
STL
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Arseni KoromyslovD23:26+0.77Justin CarbonneauF17:42+0.65Tyler TuckerD18:52+0.65Ross JohnstonF12:09+0.64Aleksanteri KaskimakiF20:22+0.57Zach DeanF16:18+0.50Alexey ToropchenkoF13:16+0.41Pius SuterF19:01+0.14Jakub StanclF13:20+0.07Juraj PekarcikF11:21-0.06Maddox DagenaisF14:23-0.10Quinton BurnsD14:00-0.16Colin RalphD18:31-0.27Lukas FischerD15:57-0.29Jack FinleyF13:56-0.30Theo LindsteinD23:32-0.38Dylan PetersonF12:21-0.39Otto StenbergF15:09-0.45

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

DAL
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Artem ShlaineEmil HemmingDylan Hryckowian9:23-0.27L2Cameron HughesMatthew SeminoffArttu Hyry9:16-0.21L3Curtis McKenzieJack BeckerJustin Ertel8:05-0.13L4Michael SgarbossaCharlie PaquetteChristian Fitzgerald7:53-0.11DEFENCE PAIRSD1Kyle CapobiancoJack Anderson10:02+0.09D2Kyle BurroughsTrey Taylor9:04+0.43D3Ben GleasonJakub Vaněček6:47-0.701ST2ND3RD00.750.75
STL
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Zach DeanAleksanteri KaskimakiJustin Carbonneau13:57+0.84L2Jack FinleyOtto StenbergMaddox Dagenais8:14-0.10L3Dylan PetersonJakub StanclJuraj Pekarcik7:23+0.03L4Ross JohnstonAlexey ToropchenkoPius Suter7:12+0.06DEFENCE PAIRSD1Tyler TuckerArseni Koromyslov16:43+0.78D2Theo LindsteinColin Ralph15:43-0.26D3Quinton BurnsLukas Fischer13:28-0.161ST2ND3RD01.251.25

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
DALArttu Hyry 1st0:16 0.19
DALJack Becker 2nd18:29 0.17
STLAleksanteri Kaskimaki 2nd13:30 0.16