xJawn NHL expected goals

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TBL Tampa Bay Lightning

2025-26 · playoffs · Atlantic · 7 GP

Record
3-4
xGF% 5v5
51.0%(56th)
GF / GA 5v5
9 / 11
Finishing 5v5
-2.8
Defense 5v5
+0.3

xG shot map

How to read this map

One rink: offense left, defense right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG, summed per game. The controls below the filters switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league, the latter as a % change or absolute Δ xG/game) and the markers: × goal · on net · missed · small blocked — blocked are in the surface but hidden from the markers by default (+ blocked adds them).

The page opens at 5v5. Empty-net attempts are excluded from every view: the strength buckets segregate them (an empty-net shot is never 5v5, PP, or PK), so the empty net toggle only bites on all strengths — it is disabled otherwise. Finishing is GF − xGF; Defense is its mirror, xGA − GA. Both are signed so positive is good, and both are mostly shooting/goaltending luck on top of a lot of noise.

shots for◀ 5v5 offense
shots against5v5 defense ▶
Goals45.0%9
55.0%11
xG51.0%11.8
49.0%11.3
xG/6051.0%2.13
49.0%2.05
Shots55.2%137
44.8%111
Attempts55.0%317
45.0%259

Rolling xGF%

Strength splits

Rates are per 60 minutes at that strength (real time-on-ice), not per game — so a team's PP xGF/60 is what it generates per hour of power play.

StrengthTOI/gmxGFxGAxGF%xGF/60xGA/60GFGA
5v547.5 11.811.351.0% 2.132.05911
Power play7.6 7.70.792.0% 8.650.7550
Penalty kill6.6 0.26.92.3% 0.218.9205