OTT Lars Eller
C · career · 16 seasons · 5v5 value in goals above league average per 60
GAA/60 by season
How to read this chart
One point per season: GAA/60, the accounting sum of that season's 5v5 value — chances created (Off xG-RAPM) + chances suppressed (Def xG-RAPM) + finishing above expectation — in goals above league average per 60 minutes. The chart opens on the 3-season weighted average: each point is the ice-time-weighted average of the player's GAA/60 over that season and the two before it. A single season of RAPM is noisy (year-over-year correlation ≈ 0.5, the defensive half worse), so the smoothed line is the honest read — it answers "is this level real?" rather than "what did one 1,000-minute sample say?". The Single season toggle shows the raw per-season number instead, swings and all.
The grey bands are the league that same season, in the same view: the brighter fill is the middle half of skaters (25th–75th percentile), the faint fill the 5th–95th, the dashed line the league median — all over skaters with at least 300 minutes of 5v5 ice time (window-summed in the 3-season view). Where a point sits inside the bands is its percentile; the label above it makes it exact. Hollow points fall under the floor — they draw (the line is the career) but get no rank.
The vertical axis is GAA/60 — a linear goals-above-league-average scale, so heights add up. It opens on just the orange net line over the bands. Click Off / Def / Fin in the legend to stack that piece in: chances created and finishing (when positive) fill up from the dotted zero line, chances against fill down when a player is bleeding them, and the net line is their sum. Toggle each one independently — the line says how good, the stack says where the value came from.
Season by season
| Season | Team | TOI | Off | Def | Fin | GAA/60 | GAA (goals) | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OTT | 709 | -0.24 | -0.00 | -0.05 | -0.29 | -3.5 | 6th |
| 2024-25 | WSH | 1,020 | -0.18 | +0.06 | -0.05 | -0.16 | -2.8 | 21st |
| 2023-24 | PIT | 959 | -0.11 | +0.20 | -0.05 | +0.04 | +0.6 | 58th |
| 2022-23 | WSH | 1,134 | +0.00 | +0.15 | -0.05 | +0.10 | +1.9 | 71st |
| 2021-22 | WSH | 968 | -0.05 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.12 | -1.9 | 18th |
| 2020-21 | WSH | 598 | +0.07 | +0.03 | -0.06 | +0.04 | +0.4 | 63rd |
| 2019-20 | WSH | 894 | +0.09 | -0.00 | -0.08 | +0.01 | +0.1 | 55th |
| 2018-19 | WSH | 1,072 | +0.01 | +0.02 | -0.06 | -0.03 | -0.5 | 42nd |
| 2017-18 | WSH | 1,254 | -0.03 | -0.09 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -3.8 | 5th |
| 2016-17 | WSH | 1,056 | -0.00 | +0.00 | -0.05 | -0.05 | -1.0 | 34th |
| 2015-16 | MTL | 968 | +0.06 | +0.01 | -0.05 | +0.01 | +0.2 | 57th |
| 2014-15 | MTL | 1,154 | -0.03 | +0.01 | -0.05 | -0.07 | -1.4 | 30th |
| 2013-14 | MTL | 1,221 | +0.17 | -0.05 | -0.06 | +0.06 | +1.3 | 66th |
| 2012-13 | MTL | 555 | +0.04 | +0.06 | -0.06 | +0.04 | +0.4 | 62nd |
| 2011-12 | MTL | 983 | -0.14 | +0.03 | -0.05 | -0.16 | -2.6 | 9th |
| 2010-11 | MTL | 905 | -0.12 | +0.06 | -0.04 | -0.11 | -1.6 | 21st |
The table is always the raw single-season record — the ledger the 3-season line smooths. TOI is 5v5 minutes. GAA (goals) is the rate × that season's ice time — the season's total value in goals. Percentile is against that season's qualified skaters, single season.
GAA/60 comes from value artifact value__5766c017 (accounting layer,
docs/player-value.md): single-season xG-RAPM plus the modeled finishing rating over the player's
own 5v5 ice time; the 3-season view is the trailing ice-time-weighted average of those. It is a
separate surface from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.