xJawn NHL expected goals

← Players · ← 2025-26 season

LAK Corey Perry

R · career · 16 seasons · 5v5 value in goals above league average per 60

GAA/60 by season

How to read this chart

One point per season: GAA/60, the accounting sum of that season's 5v5 value — chances created (Off xG-RAPM) + chances suppressed (Def xG-RAPM) + finishing above expectation — in goals above league average per 60 minutes. The chart opens on the 3-season weighted average: each point is the ice-time-weighted average of the player's GAA/60 over that season and the two before it. A single season of RAPM is noisy (year-over-year correlation ≈ 0.5, the defensive half worse), so the smoothed line is the honest read — it answers "is this level real?" rather than "what did one 1,000-minute sample say?". The Single season toggle shows the raw per-season number instead, swings and all.

The grey bands are the league that same season, in the same view: the brighter fill is the middle half of skaters (25th–75th percentile), the faint fill the 5th–95th, the dashed line the league median — all over skaters with at least 300 minutes of 5v5 ice time (window-summed in the 3-season view). Where a point sits inside the bands is its percentile; the label above it makes it exact. Hollow points fall under the floor — they draw (the line is the career) but get no rank.

The vertical axis is GAA/60 — a linear goals-above-league-average scale, so heights add up. It opens on just the orange net line over the bands. Click Off / Def / Fin in the legend to stack that piece in: chances created and finishing (when positive) fill up from the dotted zero line, chances against fill down when a player is bleeding them, and the net line is their sum. Toggle each one independently — the line says how good, the stack says where the value came from.

Season by season

SeasonTeamTOIOffDefFinGAA/60GAA (goals)Percentile
2025-26LAK830 -0.12-0.02+0.01 -0.13-1.8 26th
2024-25EDM1,085 +0.13-0.11+0.02 +0.03+0.6 56th
2023-24EDM791 -0.07+0.04+0.02 -0.02-0.3 49th
2022-23TBL818 +0.02+0.14+0.02 +0.18+2.5 79th
2021-22TBL1,137 +0.05+0.08+0.02 +0.15+2.9 85th
2020-21MTL788 -0.10+0.04+0.01 -0.04-0.6 35th
2019-20DAL846 +0.06+0.00+0.02 +0.08+1.2 75th
2018-19ANA390 +0.01+0.00+0.02 +0.03+0.2 59th
2017-18ANA1,089 +0.01-0.07+0.02 -0.04-0.7 38th
2016-17ANA1,413 +0.12+0.02+0.02 +0.17+4.0 91st
2015-16ANA1,238 +0.00-0.14+0.02 -0.12-2.4 16th
2014-15ANA1,199 +0.14+0.04+0.02 +0.20+4.1 93rd
2013-14ANA1,330 +0.43+0.15+0.03 +0.60+13.4 99th
2012-13ANA734 +0.21+0.07+0.02 +0.30+3.6 93rd
2011-12ANA1,236 +0.04+0.08+0.02 +0.14+2.9 88th
2010-11ANA1,417 +0.05-0.03+0.02 +0.04+1.0 69th

The table is always the raw single-season record — the ledger the 3-season line smooths. TOI is 5v5 minutes. GAA (goals) is the rate × that season's ice time — the season's total value in goals. Percentile is against that season's qualified skaters, single season.

GAA/60 comes from value artifact value__5766c017 (accounting layer, docs/player-value.md): single-season xG-RAPM plus the modeled finishing rating over the player's own 5v5 ice time; the 3-season view is the trailing ice-time-weighted average of those. It is a separate surface from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.