Flyers draft lottery odds
The Flyers have 16 points from 21 games. The rest of the season played out 20,000 times from today's standings, with the NHL's draft lottery run on every one: where the Flyers pick in the 2027 first round. Updated every morning; as of Nov 14, 2026.
Picks 1 to 16: the clubs that miss the playoffs. The two draws set picks 1 and 2.
The odds
Pick by pick
Where the pick comes from
| Source | Flyers get it | #1 overall | Top 3 | Top 10 | Avg pick |
|---|
Toronto's first is the Flyers' from the Scott Laughton trade. If it lands 11th or later it is theirs. If it lands in the top 10, Toronto chooses whether the Flyers or Boston (owed a first from the Brandon Carlo trade) take it, and the other club gets Toronto's 2028 first instead. That is the league's ruling as reported in June 2026; the switch at the top of the page sets which way Toronto goes. The Flyers were reported ready to dispute it, and the league has published nothing itself.
The lottery field
| Team | GP | Pts | Final pts | Worst record | #1 pick | Top 3 | Top 10 | Avg pick |
|---|
Each club's own pick, before any trades. The 16 clubs with the best expected pick.
How this is made
Every season from the playoff and Cup odds gets its own draft lottery. The 16 clubs that miss the playoffs go in, worst record first. Two draws decide picks 1 and 2: the worst club has an 18.5% chance in a draw, the 16th-worst 0.5%. (The NHL does it with 14 numbered ping-pong balls and 1,001 four-ball combinations dealt out in those proportions; the machine here shows one ball per club and draws at the same odds.) A winner moves up at most ten spots, so only the 11 worst clubs can win No. 1. Everyone else picks in reverse order of the standings, and the playoff clubs take 17 to 32 by how far they went.
Team ratings are held at today's for the whole simulated season, so the spread is the luck of the games left, not doubt about how good the teams are.