xJawn NHL expected goals

← Preseason

Save a card: Summary · Full card · Game flow · NJD skaters · NYR skaters · NJD lines · NYR lines · Matchups
Today's puzzle Remember Some Guys — name the skater from the shape of his career. Three clues, one guess a day. Play →

NJD 3 – 4 NYR

New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

Final / SO · Sep 24, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from NJD's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = NJD power play · PK = NYR power play · Leading = NJD ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

NJD attacks◀ all strengths
NYR attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: NJD attacks the left net, NYR the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 120 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from NJD's side and mirrored for NYR: “NJD PP” shows NJD's power-play attempts on the left and NYR's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
NJD NYR
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
3 3
Expected goals
3.14 3.31
xG%share of xG
49% 51%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
4 1
Shots on goal
23 23
Attempts
48 59
xG by period · whole game 1st0.6–0.62nd0.5–1.33rd1.3–0.7OT0.7–0.7

The Rangers beat the Devils 4–3 in a shootout at home in a game the chances called about even, NJD 3.1 to NYR 3.3 in expected goals. The Rangers power play made 0.9 xG on 8 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative NJD − NYR xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5NJD AHEAD ▲NYR AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative NJD minus NYR expected goals. Above zero NJD is ahead on chances, below zero NYR is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

NJD
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5220Xavier ParentF13:20+0.54Matyas MelovskyF16:28+0.43Colin WhiteF14:43+0.34Riley TufteF14:26+0.19Stefan NoesenF19:29+0.11Mikael DiotteD22:06+0.10Amadeus LombardiF20:40+0.08Ethan EdwardsD25:38+0.05Anton SilaevD19:48-0.02Ben SteevesF15:33-0.02Shane LachanceF12:24-0.03Lenni HameenahoF17:56-0.03Jesper BoqvistF18:45-0.03Seamus CaseyD11:50-0.06Marc McLaughlinF14:36-0.23Topias VilenD22:35-0.46Vladislav KolyachonokD22:48-0.48Ryan SchmelzerF12:59-0.66
NYR
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Liam GreentreeF17:24+0.58Matthew RobertsonD17:06+0.45Tye KartyeF15:48+0.37Scott MorrowD25:44+0.27Nathan AspinallF11:26+0.26Gabe PerreaultF21:39+0.23Alberts SmitsD23:48+0.20Glenn GawdinF10:21+0.08Noah LabaF20:25+0.07Anton BlidhF10:19+0.05Cole BeaudoinF14:57+0.01Joseph VelenoF19:28-0.02Jaroslav ChmelarF14:25-0.06Matt RempeF14:14-0.10Will CuylleF21:00-0.11William TrudeauD16:47-0.12Marc Del GaizoD20:48-0.16Drew FortescueD20:31-0.68

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

NJD
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Stefan NoesenJesper BoqvistAmadeus Lombardi15:13+0.30L2Lenni HameenahoMatyas MelovskyBen Steeves11:00-0.20L3Colin WhiteRiley TufteXavier Parent10:24+0.17L4Ryan SchmelzerShane LachanceMarc McLaughlin9:11-0.12DEFENCE PAIRSD1Topias VilenMikael Diotte12:31+0.27D2Vladislav KolyachonokAnton Silaev12:26-0.06D3Ethan EdwardsSeamus Casey8:42+0.101ST2ND3RDOT011
NYR
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Will CuylleNoah LabaGabe Perreault14:28+0.11L2Jaroslav ChmelarCole BeaudoinLiam Greentree11:08+0.03L3Joseph VelenoTye KartyeMatt Rempe10:51+0.06L4Anton BlidhGlenn GawdinNathan Aspinall7:03+0.05DEFENCE PAIRSD1Scott MorrowAlberts Smits19:02-0.06D2Marc Del GaizoDrew Fortescue17:56-0.37D3Matthew RobertsonWilliam Trudeau14:26+0.111ST2ND3RDOT01.251.25

Matchups

5v5 · every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
NJD won the chances NYR won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
DawsNoesenBoqvistLombardiHameenahoMelovskySteevesWhiteTufteParentSchmelzerLachanceMcLaughlinVilenDiotteKolyachonokSilaevEdwardsCaseyKorpisaloCuylleLabaPerreaultChmelarBeaudoinGreentreeVelenoKartyeRempeBlidhGawdinAspinallMorrowSmitsDel GaizoFortescueRobertsonTrudeauGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3
How to read this

Rows are NJD's skaters, columns NYR's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
NJDStefan Noesen 1st8:51 PP 0.16
NJDEthan Edwards 2nd12:09 0.01
NJDAmadeus Lombardi 3rd18:21 PP 0.14
NYRWill Cuylle 3rd3:10 0.19
NYRAnton Blidh 3rd5:21 PP 0.27
NYRScott Morrow 3rd10:03 0.02