xJawn NHL expected goals

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ANA 0 – 10 SJS

Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

Final · Sep 24, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from ANA's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = ANA power play · PK = SJS power play · Leading = ANA ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

ANA attacks◀ all strengths
SJS attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: ANA attacks the left net, SJS the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from ANA's side and mirrored for SJS: “ANA PP” shows ANA's power-play attempts on the left and SJS's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
ANA SJS
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
0 10
Expected goals
1.67 3.85
xG%share of xG
30% 70%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 7
Shots on goal
20 31
Attempts
43 55
xG by period · whole game 1st0.5–2.72nd0.3–0.63rd0.9–0.6

The Sharks beat the Ducks 10–0 at home, and the chances agreed: SJS out-created ANA 3.9–1.7 in expected goals. SJS scored 10 on 3.9 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative ANA − SJS xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+1−1+2−2+3−3ANA AHEAD ▲SJS AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative ANA minus SJS expected goals. Above zero ANA is ahead on chances, below zero SJS is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

ANA
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Judd CaulfieldF19:09+0.28Nathan GaucherF8:51-0.31Sean FarrellF10:30-0.32Corey SchuenemanD21:39-0.35Anton WahlbergF16:50-0.38Lucas PetterssonF12:55-0.44Nikita KlepovF15:46-0.46Cruz LuciusF14:05-0.59Sam ColangeloF12:08-0.62Roger McQueenF18:47-0.63Jeff MalottF11:31-0.64Stian SolbergD18:51-0.67Nico MyatovicF21:24-0.77Travis MitchellD19:22-0.77James HamblinF16:40-0.81Jett WooD11:20-0.81Nick JensenD22:03-1.00Tyson HindsD18:44-1.33
SJS
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5220Macklin CelebriniF10:45+1.80Will SmithF14:10+1.59Mason MarchmentF11:48+1.38Eric PohlkampD18:21+1.34Ivar StenbergF15:23+1.07Sam DickinsonD19:44+0.91Nolan AllanD17:52+0.76Luca CagnoniD19:17+0.56Jimmy HuntingtonF15:17+0.53Michael MisaF15:56+0.51Darnell NurseD19:44+0.42Kiefer SherwoodF18:05+0.34Filip BystedtF17:19+0.29Igor ChernyshovF14:34+0.21Michael KesselringD19:47+0.10Brett LeasonF14:19+0.02Barclay GoodrowF13:08-0.08Ty DellandreaF14:31-0.14

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

ANA
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Sean FarrellCruz LuciusLucas Pettersson6:24-0.37L2Nico MyatovicRoger McQueenNikita Klepov4:50+0.09L3Judd CaulfieldNathan GaucherAnton Wahlberg2:49+0.31L4James HamblinSam ColangeloJeff Malott0:28-0.25DEFENCE PAIRSD1Nick JensenTyson Hinds13:55-1.00D2Corey SchuenemanStian Solberg6:21-0.64D3Jett WooTravis Mitchell4:26-0.321ST2ND3RD01.51.5
SJS
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Kiefer SherwoodMichael MisaIvar Stenberg11:19+0.71L2Mason MarchmentWill SmithMacklin Celebrini9:25+1.40L3Jimmy HuntingtonFilip BystedtIgor Chernyshov9:15+0.22L4Barclay GoodrowTy DellandreaBrett Leason7:11+0.04DEFENCE PAIRSD1Darnell NurseMichael Kesselring15:33+0.40D2Luca CagnoniSam Dickinson13:16+0.78D3Nolan AllanEric Pohlkamp12:16+0.951ST2ND3RD01.751.75

Matchups

5v5 · every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
ANA won the chances SJS won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
BrossoitHussoFarrellLuciusPetterssonMyatovicMcQueenKlepovCaulfieldGaucherWahlbergHamblinColangeloMalottJensenHindsSchuenemanSolbergWooMitchellNedeljkovicSherwoodMisaStenbergMarchmentSmithCelebriniHuntingtonBystedtChernyshovGoodrowDellandreaLeasonNurseKesselringCagnoniDickinsonAllanPohlkampGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3
How to read this

Rows are ANA's skaters, columns SJS's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
SJSMason Marchment 1st3:55 0.40
SJSIvar Stenberg 1st5:29 0.24
SJSIgor Chernyshov 1st9:29 0.21
SJSMichael Misa 1st11:33 0.17
SJSIgor Chernyshov 1st15:45 0.04
SJSIvar Stenberg 2nd3:04 0.10
SJSMason Marchment 2nd12:57 0.25
SJSBrett Leason 3rd7:54 PP 0.10
SJSIvar Stenberg 3rd16:57 PP 0.05
SJSFilip Bystedt 3rd17:23 0.10