OTT 1 – 6 TOR
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
2026-27 · preseason
Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.
Strength and score are read from OTT's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = OTT power play · PK = TOR power play · Leading = OTT ahead · ST = each club's own power play.
OTT attacks◀ all strengths
How to read this map
One rink, both teams: OTT attacks the left net, TOR the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.
A strength or score filter is read from OTT's side and mirrored for TOR: “OTT PP” shows OTT's power-play attempts on the left and TOR's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.
What each side produced
all strengths · preseasonThe Maple Leafs beat the Senators 6–1 at home, and the chances agreed: TOR out-created OTT 3.8–1.8 in expected goals. TOR scored 6 on 3.8 expected.
Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.
As the game went
cumulative OTT − TOR xG · bands = power plays · lines = goalsHow to read this
One line: cumulative OTT minus TOR expected goals. Above zero OTT is ahead on chances, below zero TOR is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.
Skaters
on-ice xG · sorted by net · one gameHow to read this
Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.
OTT
TOR
Lines & pairs
most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xGHow to read this
The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.
OTT
TOR
Matchups
5v5 · every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cellHow to read this
Rows are OTT's skaters, columns TOR's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open one means they never met at five-on-five.
The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.
Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not. Hover (or tap) any cell for the time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.
Goals
xG = the chance, before it went in| Team | Scorer | Period | Time | xG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | Tim Stützle | 1st | 6:35 | 0.11 | |
| TOR | Jake McCabe | 1st | 7:45 | 0.30 | |
| TOR | John Tavares | 1st | 19:09 | 0.05 | |
| TOR | Jack Roslovic | 2nd | 4:49 | PP | 0.28 |
| TOR | Zack MacEwen | 2nd | 16:53 | 0.25 | |
| TOR | Morgan Rielly | 2nd | 19:13 | 0.14 | |
| TOR | Auston Matthews | 3rd | 6:10 | 0.12 |