xJawn NHL expected goals

← Preseason

Save a card: Summary · Full card · Game flow · UTA skaters · LAK skaters · UTA lines · LAK lines

UTA 6 3 LAK

Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

Final · Sep 22, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from UTA's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = UTA power play · PK = LAK power play · Leading = UTA ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

UTA attacks◀ all strengths
LAK attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: UTA attacks the left net, LAK the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from UTA's side and mirrored for LAK: “UTA PP” shows UTA's power-play attempts on the left and LAK's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
UTA LAK
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
5 3
Expected goals
3.26 2.72
xG%share of xG
55% 45%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
3 2
Shots on goal
34 22
Attempts
59 43
xG by period · whole game 1st0.90.42nd1.71.23rd0.71.2

The Mammoth beat the Kings 6–3 on the road in a game the chances called about even, UTA 3.3 to LAK 2.7 in expected goals. The Mammoth power play made 1.1 xG on 11 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative UTA − LAK xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5UTA AHEAD ▲LAK AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative UTA minus LAK expected goals. Above zero UTA is ahead on chances, below zero LAK is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

UTA
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5220Clayton KellerF11:33+1.34Dylan GuentherF16:44+1.22Logan CooleyF15:21+1.03Mikhail SergachevD17:57+0.98Nick SchmaltzF13:41+0.97Daniil ButF9:57+0.64Anders LeeF11:21+0.59Tij IginlaF11:31+0.34Yegor BorikovF8:42+0.33MacKenzie WeegarD15:19+0.33Vadim MorozF8:52+0.29Tomas LavoieD10:29+0.27Zac JonesD11:32+0.26Maveric LamoureuxD14:22-0.19Austin PoganskiF9:15-0.36Liam O'BrienF7:59-0.42Andrew PeekeD10:32-0.46Cam HebigF8:58-0.68
LAK
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Artemi PanarinF15:10+0.60Adrian KempeF16:16+0.60Quinton ByfieldF14:34+0.35Brandt ClarkeD18:32+0.18Martin ChromiakF8:12-0.06Koehn ZiemmerF6:46-0.11Jared WoolleyD9:58-0.12Francesco PinelliF6:43-0.21Mikey AndersonD14:52-0.37Andre LeeF11:50-0.39Jared WrightF8:30-0.44Joel EdmundsonD13:19-0.48Liam LefebvreF9:19-0.51Kenny ConnorsF11:33-0.54Taylor WardF9:53-0.56Kirill KirsanovD13:20-0.65Samuel HeleniusF8:55-1.04Cody CeciD12:47-1.28

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

UTA
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Anders LeeDylan GuentherLogan Cooley8:12+0.12L2Vadim MorozTij IginlaYegor Borikov6:09+0.11L3Liam O'BrienAustin PoganskiCam Hebig5:17-0.45L4Nick SchmaltzClayton KellerDaniil But4:46+0.43DEFENCE PAIRSD1Andrew PeekeMaveric Lamoureux10:01-0.46D2MacKenzie WeegarMikhail Sergachev9:53-0.08D3Zac JonesTomas Lavoie9:12+0.221ST2ND3RD00.750.75
LAK
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Adrian KempeArtemi PanarinQuinton Byfield11:14+0.74L2Taylor WardKenny ConnorsLiam Lefebvre6:32-0.03L3Andre LeeSamuel HeleniusJared Wright4:40-0.02L4Martin ChromiakFrancesco PinelliKoehn Ziemmer4:23+0.21DEFENCE PAIRSD1Mikey AndersonBrandt Clarke11:25-0.03D2Joel EdmundsonKirill Kirsanov10:03-0.15D3Cody CeciJared Woolley7:16-0.081ST2ND3RD011

Matchups

5v5 · every skater against every skater · hover a cell
UTA won the chances LAK won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more on together, dead even never on together
LeeGuentherCooleyMorozIginlaBorikovO'BrienPoganskiHebigSchmaltzKellerButPeekeLamoureuxWeegarSergachevJonesLavoieKempePanarinByfieldWardConnorsLefebvreLeeHeleniusWrightChromiakPinelliZiemmerAndersonClarkeEdmundsonKirsanovCeciWoolleyL1L2L3L4D1D2D3L1L2L3L4D1D2D3
How to read this

Rows are UTA's skaters, columns LAK's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open one means they never met at five-on-five.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not. Hover (or tap) any cell for the time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
UTADaniil But 1st8:49 PP 0.10
UTAClayton Keller 1st18:43 0.07
UTANick Schmaltz 2nd3:51 0.07
UTAAnders Lee 2nd12:22 0.22
UTALiam O'Brien 3rd3:14 0.19
UTAAnders Lee 3rd19:10 EN 0.40
LAKBrandt Clarke 2nd2:42 PP 0.09
LAKMartin Chromiak 2nd16:23 0.31
LAKTaylor Ward 3rd1:48 0.12