xJawn NHL expected goals

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PHI 1 – 5 BOS

Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

Final · Sep 22, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

On the ice
Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from PHI's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = PHI power play · PK = BOS power play · Leading = PHI ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

PHI attacks◀ all strengths
BOS attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: PHI attacks the left net, BOS the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 283 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from PHI's side and mirrored for BOS: “PHI PP” shows PHI's power-play attempts on the left and BOS's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · this game
PHI BOS
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
1 5
Expected goals
2.15 2.97
xG%share of xG
42% 58%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 2
Shots on goal
21 25
Attempts
43 59
xG by period · whole game 1st1.1–0.92nd0.8–0.73rd0.3–1.3

The Bruins beat the Flyers 5–1 at home, and the chances agreed: BOS out-created PHI 3.0–2.2 in expected goals. BOS scored 5 on 3.0 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

all situations · this game
cumulative PHI − BOS xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1PHI AHEAD ▲BOS AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative PHI minus BOS expected goals. Above zero PHI is ahead on chances, below zero BOS is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Goals

this game
xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
PHIJacob Gaucher 1st18:06 0.19
BOSMichael Eyssimont 1st13:31 0.06
BOSMorgan Geekie 3rd5:19 PP 0.11
BOSBrian Halonen 3rd7:43 0.40
BOSElias Lindholm 3rd14:49 0.19
BOSMichael Eyssimont 3rd18:47 0.16
Who

Skaters

all · whole game · this game
on-ice xG for and against, his own attempts, the net
strength
period
sort
How to read this

Every skater: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time. The chart opens sorted by net, best first; pick another key to re-order it, and click the same key again to flip it. A name opens the player's page. Pick a period and every bar re-lays for that period alone on the same scale as the whole game, so the three periods add up to it; a skater who did not play in it fades to the bottom.

PHI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Cole KnubleF16:26+0.38Jett LuchankoF16:49+0.34Danila KlimovichF15:33+0.34Carl GrundstromF15:16+0.28Jack StudnickaF15:10+0.26Nolan FooteF14:35+0.24Oliver BonkD20:46+0.07David JiricekD22:46-0.10Ty MurchisonD14:17-0.13Alex BumpF14:54-0.34Nick SeelerD21:30-0.41Noah CatesF15:36-0.42Owen TippettF14:25-0.46Spencer GillD19:10-0.49Matthew GardF12:21-0.82Zachary Aston-ReeseF12:56-0.83Jacob GaucherF13:36-0.87Hunter McDonaldD19:40-0.91
0.50.5111.51.50Cole KnubleF14:45+0.31Carl GrundstromF15:11+0.28Jett LuchankoF14:29+0.27Danila KlimovichF13:33+0.13Jack StudnickaF13:21+0.13Nolan FooteF13:40+0.12Oliver BonkD17:50+0.06Ty MurchisonD13:51-0.13Nick SeelerD19:18-0.23David JiricekD21:03-0.25Spencer GillD17:35-0.44Noah CatesF13:18-0.51Alex BumpF13:00-0.55Owen TippettF12:25-0.55Zachary Aston-ReeseF12:13-0.77Matthew GardF12:21-0.82Jacob GaucherF12:54-0.82Hunter McDonaldD18:03-0.86
0.250.250Owen TippettF1:06+0.20Danila KlimovichF1:06+0.20Noah CatesF1:05+0.20Alex BumpF1:05+0.20Oliver BonkD1:14+0.19David JiricekD0:46+0.15Nolan FooteF0:55+0.13Cole KnubleF0:55+0.13Jack StudnickaF0:54+0.13Jett LuchankoF0:54+0.13
0.250.250Carl GrundstromF0:05+0.00Hunter McDonaldD0:47-0.05Zachary Aston-ReeseF0:43-0.06Spencer GillD0:43-0.06Jacob GaucherF0:42-0.06Jett LuchankoF0:48-0.06Cole KnubleF0:46-0.06Noah CatesF0:45-0.11Owen TippettF0:38-0.11Oliver BonkD1:31-0.17Nick SeelerD1:28-0.17
BOS
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Frederic BrunetD17:05+0.61Ivan IvanF11:16+0.56Brian HalonenF11:29+0.49Maxence GuenetteD14:42+0.49David PastrnakF16:54+0.44JJ PeterkaF17:19+0.38Nikita ZadorovD22:29+0.35Connor CliftonD23:15+0.35Brendan GaunceF10:58+0.34Morgan GeekieF19:33+0.22Elias LindholmF16:01+0.21Casey MittelstadtF15:39+0.16Michael EyssimontF12:55+0.08Dans LocmelisF15:18+0.07Pavel ZachaF16:34+0.00Hampus LindholmD21:25-0.08Tanner JeannotF15:16-0.14William BorgenD19:51-0.25
0.50.5110Frederic BrunetD15:35+0.68Maxence GuenetteD14:00+0.62Brendan GaunceF10:16+0.52Ivan IvanF10:01+0.50Brian HalonenF10:46+0.44Nikita ZadorovD20:47+0.38Connor CliftonD21:31+0.38Elias LindholmF14:35+0.33David PastrnakF14:58+0.27Dans LocmelisF13:43+0.22JJ PeterkaF15:25+0.21Casey MittelstadtF14:01+0.10Michael EyssimontF12:53+0.08Morgan GeekieF18:07+0.04Tanner JeannotF13:16+0.01Hampus LindholmD18:26-0.07William BorgenD18:09-0.07Pavel ZachaF14:20-0.17
0.250.250Hampus LindholmD1:26+0.17David PastrnakF1:26+0.17Pavel ZachaF1:26+0.17Morgan GeekieF1:26+0.17JJ PeterkaF1:26+0.17Elias LindholmF0:48+0.06Frederic BrunetD0:48+0.06Casey MittelstadtF0:46+0.06Ivan IvanF0:45+0.06Brian HalonenF0:43+0.06Connor CliftonD0:05+0.00Dans LocmelisF0:03+0.00Michael EyssimontF0:02+0.00
0.250.250Ivan IvanF0:30+0.00Connor CliftonD0:59-0.03Nikita ZadorovD0:56-0.03Maxence GuenetteD0:26-0.13Frederic BrunetD0:26-0.13Tanner JeannotF1:18-0.15Dans LocmelisF0:53-0.15Brendan GaunceF0:42-0.18Elias LindholmF0:38-0.18William BorgenD0:37-0.18Hampus LindholmD0:35-0.18

Lines & pairs

all · whole game · this game
most-used units · when they played · on-ice xG lines are by strength · 5v5 shown
strength
period
sort
How to read this

The units that actually played together most at the chosen strength — forward lines and defence pairs at 5v5, the whole group on the ice on the power play or the kill — each with when it was on the ice at that strength across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against / for while the whole unit was out, at that strength only. Sorted by time together; pick another key to re-order, and a name opens the player's page. Pick a period and the strip veils the rest of the game while the bars re-lay for that period alone, on the whole game's scale.

PHI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
BOS
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF

Matchups

5v5 · this game
every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
order
PHI won the chances BOS won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
SwaymanEyssimontJeannotLocmelisLindholmPastrnakGeekieGaunceHalonenIvanZachaMittelstadtPeterkaCliftonZadorovLindholmBorgenGuenetteBrunetGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3KolosovVladarGrundstromKnubleLuchankoStudnickaFooteKlimovichAston-ReeseGaucherGardTippettCatesBumpSeelerJiricekMcDonaldGillMurchisonBonk
How to read this

Rows are PHI's skaters, columns BOS's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.