xJawn NHL expected goals

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PHI 1 5 BOS

Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

Final · Sep 22, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from PHI's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = PHI power play · PK = BOS power play · Leading = PHI ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

PHI attacks◀ all strengths
BOS attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: PHI attacks the left net, BOS the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from PHI's side and mirrored for BOS: “PHI PP” shows PHI's power-play attempts on the left and BOS's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
PHI BOS
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
1 5
Expected goals
2.11 2.98
xG%share of xG
41% 59%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 2
Shots on goal
21 25
Attempts
43 59
xG by period · whole game 1st1.10.92nd0.70.73rd0.31.3

The Bruins beat the Flyers 5–1 at home, and the chances agreed: BOS out-created PHI 3.0–2.1 in expected goals. BOS scored 5 on 3.0 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative PHI − BOS xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1PHI AHEAD ▲BOS AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative PHI minus BOS expected goals. Above zero PHI is ahead on chances, below zero BOS is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

PHI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Cole KnubleF15:29+0.39Jett LuchankoF15:48+0.35Danila KlimovichF15:33+0.28Carl GrundstromF14:18+0.28Oliver BonkD19:31+0.25Jack StudnickaF15:10+0.21Nolan FooteF14:20+0.19Ty MurchisonD13:00+0.04David JiricekD22:46-0.10Alex BumpF14:54-0.33Nick SeelerD21:30-0.41Noah CatesF15:20-0.41Owen TippettF14:13-0.46Spencer GillD18:29-0.55Matthew GardF11:42-0.65Zachary Aston-ReeseF12:15-0.67Jacob GaucherF12:54-0.71Hunter McDonaldD18:58-0.96
BOS
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Brian HalonenF10:35+0.49David PastrnakF16:56+0.49Frederic BrunetD16:06+0.44Ivan IvanF11:30+0.43JJ PeterkaF17:25+0.37Connor CliftonD22:36+0.35Brendan GaunceF10:46+0.34Maxence GuenetteD13:24+0.33Elias LindholmF15:35+0.32Nikita ZadorovD23:55+0.27Morgan GeekieF18:10+0.15Pavel ZachaF15:49+0.12Casey MittelstadtF16:19+0.12Hampus LindholmD18:57+0.04Michael EyssimontF12:03-0.08Tanner JeannotF13:19-0.15Dans LocmelisF14:30-0.16Will BorgenD19:27-0.21

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

PHI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Owen TippettNoah CatesAlex Bump11:37-0.36L2Jack StudnickaNolan FooteDanila Klimovich10:59+0.08L3Carl GrundstromCole KnubleJett Luchanko10:51+0.21L4Zachary Aston-ReeseJacob GaucherMatthew Gard10:15-0.61DEFENCE PAIRSD1Nick SeelerDavid Jiricek17:46-0.30D2Hunter McDonaldSpencer Gill14:26-0.99D3Ty MurchisonOliver Bonk11:35-0.051ST2ND3RD01.51.5
BOS
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Michael EyssimontTanner JeannotDans Locmelis9:13-0.02L2Elias LindholmDavid PastrnakMorgan Geekie8:17+0.04L3Brendan GaunceBrian HalonenIvan Ivan7:46+0.51L4Pavel ZachaCasey MittelstadtJJ Peterka6:31-0.00DEFENCE PAIRSD1Connor CliftonNikita Zadorov20:55+0.35D2Hampus LindholmWill Borgen16:01-0.14D3Maxence GuenetteFrederic Brunet12:55+0.331ST2ND3RD01.251.25

Matchups

5v5 · every skater against every skater · hover a cell
PHI won the chances BOS won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more on together, dead even never on together
TippettCatesBumpStudnickaFooteKlimovichGrundstromKnubleLuchankoAston-ReeseGaucherGardSeelerJiricekMcDonaldGillMurchisonBonkEyssimontJeannotLocmelisLindholmPastrnakGeekieGaunceHalonenIvanZachaMittelstadtPeterkaCliftonZadorovLindholmBorgenGuenetteBrunetL1L2L3L4D1D2D3L1L2L3L4D1D2D3
How to read this

Rows are PHI's skaters, columns BOS's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open one means they never met at five-on-five.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not. Hover (or tap) any cell for the time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
PHIJacob Gaucher 1st18:06 0.19
BOSMichael Eyssimont 1st13:31 0.06
BOSMorgan Geekie 3rd5:19 PP 0.11
BOSBrian Halonen 3rd7:43 0.40
BOSElias Lindholm 3rd14:49 0.19
BOSMichael Eyssimont 3rd18:47 0.16