xJawn NHL expected goals

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STL 1 2 DAL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

Final · Sep 21, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from STL's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = STL power play · PK = DAL power play · Leading = STL ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

STL attacks◀ all strengths
DAL attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: STL attacks the left net, DAL the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from STL's side and mirrored for DAL: “STL PP” shows STL's power-play attempts on the left and DAL's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
STL DAL
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
1 2
Expected goals
3.83 3.99
xG%share of xG
49% 51%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
5 4
Shots on goal
31 27
Attempts
62 46
xG by period · whole game 1st1.11.32nd2.01.43rd0.71.3

The Stars beat the Blues 2–1 at home in a game the chances called about even, STL 3.8 to DAL 4.0 in expected goals. The Blues power play made 1.6 xG on 18 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative STL − DAL xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5STL AHEAD ▲DAL AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative STL minus DAL expected goals. Above zero STL is ahead on chances, below zero DAL is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

STL
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5222.52.5330Jimmy SnuggerudF15:57+1.79Robert ThomasF17:29+1.58Jonatan BerggrenF13:57+1.43Mason McTavishF12:18+1.32Philip BrobergD22:51+1.23Dylan HollowayF12:11+0.36Zach DeanF10:18+0.01Colin RalphD11:13-0.10Dylan PetersonF9:57-0.26Logan MaillouxD19:29-0.38Oskar SundqvistF10:15-0.49Arseni KoromyslovD12:58-0.55Adam JiricekD16:39-0.59Aleksanteri KaskimakiF12:51-0.79Otto StenbergF11:09-0.84Dillon DubeF12:23-0.90Nathan WalkerF10:17-0.99Quinton BurnsD15:14-1.28
DAL
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5220Jason RobertsonF16:05+1.59Roope HintzF15:02+0.84Thomas HarleyD20:39+0.73Mikko RantanenF17:10+0.61Dylan HryckowianF11:32+0.43Matthew SeminoffF10:30+0.41Wyatt JohnstonF18:05+0.39Emil HemmingF14:09+0.35Justin HryckowianF16:11+0.29Cameron HughesF0:22+0.00Kyle BurroughsD11:29-0.02Jack AndersonD13:19-0.04Aram MinnetianD15:44-0.12Ayrton MartinoF10:35-0.15Artem ShlaineF11:51-0.21Ellis RickwoodF10:56-0.44Nils LundkvistD17:12-0.49Trey TaylorD15:59-0.93

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

STL
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Robert ThomasDylan HollowayJimmy Snuggerud10:42+0.59L2Oskar SundqvistNathan WalkerDylan Peterson7:00-0.50L3Jonatan BerggrenMason McTavishOtto Stenberg6:10-0.03L4Dillon DubeZach DeanAleksanteri Kaskimaki6:09-0.18DEFENCE PAIRSD1Philip BrobergLogan Mailloux16:42-0.41D2Quinton BurnsAdam Jiricek12:33-0.83D3Arseni KoromyslovColin Ralph10:08-0.101ST2ND3RD01.51.5
DAL
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Mikko RantanenWyatt JohnstonJustin Hryckowian8:54-0.25L2Ayrton MartinoEmil HemmingEllis Rickwood5:10-0.23L3Roope HintzJason RobertsonMatthew Seminoff2:30+0.36L4Cameron HughesArtem ShlaineDylan Hryckowian0:22+0.00DEFENCE PAIRSD1Nils LundkvistThomas Harley10:32-0.39D2Aram MinnetianJack Anderson9:11-0.10D3Kyle BurroughsTrey Taylor7:49-0.021ST2ND3RD011

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
STLJonatan Berggren 3rd15:22 0.30
DALThomas Harley 1st15:15 0.02
DALNils Lundkvist 3rd5:57 0.17