xJawn NHL expected goals

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NYR 2 3 NJD

New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

Final · Sep 21, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from NYR's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = NYR power play · PK = NJD power play · Leading = NYR ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

NYR attacks◀ all strengths
NJD attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: NYR attacks the left net, NJD the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from NYR's side and mirrored for NJD: “NYR PP” shows NYR's power-play attempts on the left and NJD's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
NYR NJD
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 3
Expected goals
3.30 3.70
xG%share of xG
47% 53%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
4 1
Shots on goal
18 31
Attempts
43 65
xG by period · whole game 1st0.60.62nd0.70.93rd2.12.2

The Devils beat the Rangers 3–2 at home in a game the chances called about even, NYR 3.3 to NJD 3.7 in expected goals. At 5v5: NYR 3.3, NJD 3.4.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative NYR − NJD xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1NYR AHEAD ▲NJD AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative NYR minus NJD expected goals. Above zero NYR is ahead on chances, below zero NJD is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

NYR
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Scott MorrowD15:17+0.33Jacob BattagliaF7:01+0.23Carey TerranceF6:53+0.16Matt RempeF10:52+0.14Matthew RobertsonD14:51+0.13Glenn GawdinF11:15+0.12Liam GreentreeF13:09+0.07Anton BlidhF11:55+0.04Nathan AspinallF9:51-0.02Drew FortescueD13:14-0.03Justin DowlingF11:32-0.05Adam SykoraF2:49-0.09Vincent IorioD11:52-0.12Juuso ParssinenF12:46-0.27Dennis CholowskiD13:08-0.35Urho VaakanainenD13:58-0.50Dylan RoobroeckF12:33-0.50Brody LambF12:05-0.51
NJD
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.750Nico HischierF12:40+0.30Dougie HamiltonD14:50+0.30Jack HughesF13:52+0.30Dawson MercerF9:02+0.24Luke EvangelistaF14:38+0.20Anthony ManthaF11:26+0.14Jesper BrattF12:08+0.11Topias VilenD11:55+0.10Timo MeierF12:58+0.08Jonas SiegenthalerD14:06+0.06Arseny GritsyukF8:36+0.05Luke HughesD15:26+0.00Mikael DiotteD12:16-0.01Brett PesceD13:04-0.03Evan RodriguesF8:51-0.05Stefan NoesenF8:04-0.11Marc McLaughlinF8:39-0.14Jesper BoqvistF7:17-0.15

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

NYR
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Anton BlidhGlenn GawdinLiam Greentree8:16+0.28L2Justin DowlingJuuso ParssinenBrody Lamb6:00-0.14L3Matt RempeDylan RoobroeckNathan Aspinall3:45+0.09L4Adam SykoraCarey TerranceJacob Battaglia0:03+0.00DEFENCE PAIRSD1Matthew RobertsonScott Morrow11:36+0.33D2Vincent IorioDrew Fortescue9:19+0.02D3Dennis CholowskiUrho Vaakanainen9:11-0.331ST2ND3RD00.750.75
NJD
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Timo MeierNico HischierLuke Evangelista10:02+0.15L2Anthony ManthaJesper BrattJack Hughes9:33-0.04L3Evan RodriguesArseny GritsyukDawson Mercer7:50+0.02L4Stefan NoesenJesper BoqvistMarc McLaughlin5:58-0.15DEFENCE PAIRSD1Dougie HamiltonJonas Siegenthaler12:25+0.16D2Brett PesceLuke Hughes11:47-0.07D3Topias VilenMikael Diotte10:43-0.121ST2ND3RD00.50.5

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
NYRAnton Blidh 2nd16:05 0.01
NYRDrew Fortescue 3rd7:07 0.00
NJDNico Hischier 2nd11:55 0.13
NJDTimo Meier 2nd19:10 0.09
NJDJack Hughes 3rd17:48 0.16