xJawn NHL expected goals

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DET 0 1 CBJ

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final / SO · Sep 21, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from DET's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = DET power play · PK = CBJ power play · Leading = DET ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

DET attacks◀ all strengths
CBJ attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: DET attacks the left net, CBJ the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from DET's side and mirrored for CBJ: “DET PP” shows DET's power-play attempts on the left and CBJ's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
DET CBJ
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
0 0
Expected goals
1.72 2.40
xG%share of xG
42% 58%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 1
Shots on goal
18 25
Attempts
43 55
xG by period · whole game 1st0.90.22nd0.70.73rd0.10.8OT0.00.7

The Blue Jackets beat the Red Wings 1–0 in a shootout at home in a game the chances called about even, DET 1.7 to CBJ 2.4 in expected goals. At 5v5 it was DET with the edge, 1.3–0.9.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative DET − CBJ xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RDOT+0.5−0.5+1−1DET AHEAD ▲CBJ AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative DET minus CBJ expected goals. Above zero DET is ahead on chances, below zero CBJ is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

DET
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Michael RasmussenF16:51+0.63Nate DanielsonF15:48+0.40Jacob Bernard-DockerD18:29+0.38Dominik ShineF11:25+0.28Jacob BrysonD16:54+0.27John LeonardF13:11+0.24Keegan KolesarF15:59+0.16J.T. CompherF18:09+0.15Axel Sandin-PellikkaD20:45+0.14Dylan JamesF11:46-0.03Michael Brandsegg-NygårdF13:20-0.10Carter MazurF13:10-0.10Carter BearF14:51-0.15William WallinderD18:37-0.16Kienan DraperF11:41-0.22Shai BuiumD16:06-0.24Anton JohanssonD18:06-0.28Sheldon DriesF13:42-0.34
CBJ
against for own net ice time
0.50.5110Denton MateychukD25:04+0.74Jack WilliamsF14:58+0.36Mikael PyyhtiaF16:23+0.27Josh EernisseF13:25+0.24Owen SillingerF17:20+0.09Ivan ProvorovD25:41+0.07Luke TuchF11:19+0.01Luca PinelliF12:58-0.03Boston BuckbergerD18:35-0.06James MalatestaF11:59-0.06Max McCueF11:39-0.09Owen GriffinF10:37-0.09Conor GarlandF17:33-0.13Colton WhiteD17:48-0.19Mathieu OlivierF15:23-0.25Oiva KeskinenF12:40-0.30Dante FabbroD6:58-0.43Guillaume RichardD20:15-0.62

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

DET
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1J.T. CompherKeegan KolesarMichael Rasmussen11:50+0.39L2Sheldon DriesJohn LeonardCarter Bear8:24-0.04L3Carter MazurNate DanielsonMichael Brandsegg-Nygård7:18+0.09L4Dominik ShineKienan DraperDylan James7:00+0.14DEFENCE PAIRSD1William WallinderAxel Sandin-Pellikka15:13-0.11D2Jacob BrysonJacob Bernard-Docker14:10+0.31D3Shai BuiumAnton Johansson12:30-0.201ST2ND3RDOT00.750.75
CBJ
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Conor GarlandMikael PyyhtiaJack Williams11:19+0.28L2Mathieu OlivierLuca PinelliOiva Keskinen9:31-0.14L3James MalatestaOwen SillingerJosh Eernisse8:05+0.15L4Luke TuchMax McCueOwen Griffin4:42-0.05DEFENCE PAIRSD1Ivan ProvorovDenton Mateychuk16:09+0.37D2Colton WhiteGuillaume Richard9:31-0.34D3Dante FabbroBoston Buckberger4:04-0.271ST2ND3RDOT011