xJawn NHL expected goals

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SJS 2 – 6 ANA

San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks

Final · Sep 20, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

On the ice
Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from SJS's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = SJS power play · PK = ANA power play · Leading = SJS ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

SJS attacks◀ all strengths
ANA attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: SJS attacks the left net, ANA the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 246 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from SJS's side and mirrored for ANA: “SJS PP” shows SJS's power-play attempts on the left and ANA's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · this game
SJS ANA
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 6
Expected goals
2.17 2.79
xG%share of xG
44% 56%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
2 0
Shots on goal
23 32
Attempts
44 63
xG by period · whole game 1st0.3–1.12nd0.7–1.33rd1.1–0.5

The Ducks beat the Sharks 6–2 at home in a game the chances called about even, SJS 2.2 to ANA 2.8 in expected goals. ANA scored 6 on 2.8 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

all situations · this game
cumulative SJS − ANA xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5SJS AHEAD ▲ANA AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative SJS minus ANA expected goals. Above zero SJS is ahead on chances, below zero ANA is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Goals

this game
xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
SJSEric Pohlkamp 1st1:37 0.08
SJSJimmy Huntington 2nd11:05 0.16
ANAJackson LaCombe 1st2:57 0.10
ANALeo Carlsson 1st6:07 0.17
ANABeckett Sennecke 2nd12:15 PP 0.10
ANABeckett Sennecke 2nd16:07 0.03
ANABeckett Sennecke 3rd8:10 0.17
ANATristan Luneau 3rd13:44 0.03
Who

Skaters

all · whole game · this game
on-ice xG for and against, his own attempts, the net
strength
period
sort
How to read this

Every skater: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time. The chart opens sorted by net, best first; pick another key to re-order it, and click the same key again to flip it. A name opens the player's page. Pick a period and every bar re-lays for that period alone on the same scale as the whole game, so the three periods add up to it; a skater who did not play in it fades to the bottom.

SJS
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Brett LeasonF15:37+0.50Jimmy HuntingtonF17:08+0.37Ty DellandreaF20:05+0.25Nolan AllanD20:47+0.21Sam DickinsonD21:13+0.09Eric PohlkampD18:31+0.02Patrick GilesF14:55-0.15Andre GasseauF14:37-0.17Carson WetschF15:33-0.19Samuel HuoF7:56-0.30Tye FelhaberF17:01-0.31Zack OstapchukF17:26-0.31Roland McKeownD18:24-0.33Ethan CardwellF18:26-0.34Donovan Houle-VilleneuveF9:19-0.45Anthony VincentF9:21-0.59Libor HajekD18:21-0.70Leo Sahlin WalleniusD20:57-0.73
0.50.5111.51.50Brett LeasonF11:57+0.37Jimmy HuntingtonF15:01+0.37Ty DellandreaF16:27+0.35Sam DickinsonD16:51+0.05Nolan AllanD18:18-0.01Carson WetschF14:43-0.11Roland McKeownD15:57-0.16Eric PohlkampD14:58-0.21Samuel HuoF7:56-0.30Andre GasseauF11:52-0.31Patrick GilesF12:54-0.37Donovan Houle-VilleneuveF9:15-0.45Tye FelhaberF15:14-0.52Zack OstapchukF14:18-0.52Ethan CardwellF15:53-0.55Anthony VincentF9:16-0.59Libor HajekD18:21-0.70Leo Sahlin WalleniusD18:54-0.73
0.250.250Andre GasseauF1:59+0.21Eric PohlkampD1:59+0.21Brett LeasonF1:51+0.21Ethan CardwellF1:51+0.21Tye FelhaberF1:47+0.21Sam DickinsonD2:08+0.00Ty DellandreaF2:03+0.00Jimmy HuntingtonF2:03+0.00Zack OstapchukF2:00+0.00Leo Sahlin WalleniusD2:00+0.00Patrick GilesF0:05+0.00Anthony VincentF0:05+0.00Carson WetschF0:04+0.00Donovan Houle-VilleneuveF0:04+0.00Nolan AllanD0:01+0.00
0.250.250Nolan AllanD2:28+0.22Patrick GilesF1:56+0.22Zack OstapchukF1:08+0.21Sam DickinsonD2:14+0.04Eric PohlkampD1:34+0.01Ethan CardwellF0:42+0.00Jimmy HuntingtonF0:04+0.00Leo Sahlin WalleniusD0:03+0.00Andre GasseauF0:46-0.07Carson WetschF0:46-0.07Brett LeasonF1:49-0.09Ty DellandreaF1:35-0.10Roland McKeownD2:27-0.17
ANA
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Leo CarlssonF14:15+0.95Nikita KlepovF14:25+0.88Drew HellesonD9:08+0.50Stian SolbergD19:39+0.49Cutter GauthierF15:36+0.45Alex KillornF15:50+0.36Travis MitchellD20:25+0.30Roger McQueenF15:39+0.27Sean FarrellF13:19+0.25Noah WarrenD20:41+0.14Nikita NesterenkoF14:56+0.07Tristan LuneauD25:31-0.01Sam ColangeloF14:31-0.06Jackson LaCombeD21:58-0.08Nico MyatovicF14:44-0.21Anton WahlbergF15:00-0.22Beckett SenneckeF14:50-0.27Mikael GranlundF15:33-0.50
0.50.5111.51.50Leo CarlssonF11:43+1.06Nikita KlepovF13:46+0.88Drew HellesonD8:28+0.57Cutter GauthierF13:38+0.56Stian SolbergD18:25+0.50Travis MitchellD17:07+0.37Nikita NesterenkoF12:08+0.29Alex KillornF12:53+0.28Sean FarrellF12:05+0.26Noah WarrenD17:29+0.21Roger McQueenF14:13+0.20Jackson LaCombeD18:53+0.10Tristan LuneauD22:38+0.00Anton WahlbergF12:13+0.00Sam ColangeloF13:12-0.13Beckett SenneckeF12:19-0.16Nico MyatovicF14:36-0.21Mikael GranlundF12:19-0.39
0.250.250Alex KillornF1:27+0.07Roger McQueenF1:26+0.07Sam ColangeloF1:19+0.07Travis MitchellD0:46+0.07Noah WarrenD0:35+0.07Nikita KlepovF0:39+0.00Tristan LuneauD2:13-0.01Nikita NesterenkoF1:14-0.01Sean FarrellF1:14-0.01Anton WahlbergF1:14-0.01Stian SolbergD1:14-0.01Mikael GranlundF1:50-0.11Leo CarlssonF1:44-0.11Cutter GauthierF1:43-0.11Beckett SenneckeF1:42-0.11Jackson LaCombeD1:35-0.11
0.250.250Alex KillornF1:30+0.00Mikael GranlundF1:24+0.00Beckett SenneckeF0:49+0.00Leo CarlssonF0:48+0.00Tristan LuneauD0:40+0.00Cutter GauthierF0:15+0.00Nico MyatovicF0:08+0.00Jackson LaCombeD1:30-0.07Drew HellesonD0:40-0.07Noah WarrenD2:37-0.15Travis MitchellD2:32-0.15Nikita NesterenkoF1:34-0.21Anton WahlbergF1:33-0.21

Lines & pairs

all · whole game · this game
most-used units · when they played · on-ice xG lines are by strength · 5v5 shown
strength
period
sort
How to read this

The units that actually played together most at the chosen strength — forward lines and defence pairs at 5v5, the whole group on the ice on the power play or the kill — each with when it was on the ice at that strength across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against / for while the whole unit was out, at that strength only. Sorted by time together; pick another key to re-order, and a name opens the player's page. Pick a period and the strip veils the rest of the game while the bars re-lay for that period alone, on the whole game's scale.

SJS
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
ANA
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF

Matchups

5v5 · this game
every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
order
SJS won the chances ANA won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
BrossoitKillornColangeloMcQueenGranlundMyatovicSenneckeGauthierCarlssonKlepovNesterenkoFarrellWahlbergWarrenSolbergLuneauMitchellHellesonLaCombeGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3ComrieDavisFelhaberCardwellOstapchukDellandreaHuntingtonLeasonGilesGasseauWetschHuoVincentHoule-VilleneuveAllanPohlkampHajekSahlin WalleniusMcKeownDickinson
How to read this

Rows are SJS's skaters, columns ANA's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.