xJawn NHL expected goals

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Final · Sep 20, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

On the ice
Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from NYI's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = NYI power play · PK = NJD power play · Leading = NYI ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

NYI attacks◀ all strengths
NJD attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: NYI attacks the left net, NJD the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 246 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from NYI's side and mirrored for NJD: “NYI PP” shows NYI's power-play attempts on the left and NJD's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · this game
NYI NJD
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
1 2
Expected goals
1.50 2.97
xG%share of xG
34% 66%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 2
Shots on goal
24 22
Attempts
46 52
xG by period · whole game 1st0.7–0.42nd0.5–1.83rd0.3–0.8

The Devils beat the Islanders 2–1 at home, and the chances agreed: NJD out-created NYI 3.0–1.5 in expected goals. The Islanders power play made 0.8 xG on 16 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

all situations · this game
cumulative NYI − NJD xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1+1.5−1.5+2−2NYI AHEAD ▲NJD AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative NYI minus NJD expected goals. Above zero NYI is ahead on chances, below zero NJD is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Goals

this game
xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
NYICole Eiserman 2nd0:55 PP 0.10
NJDRyan Schmelzer 2nd3:59 0.10
NJDConnor Brown 3rd7:53 0.14
Who

Skaters

all · whole game · this game
on-ice xG for and against, his own attempts, the net
strength
period
sort
How to read this

Every skater: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time. The chart opens sorted by net, best first; pick another key to re-order it, and click the same key again to flip it. A name opens the player's page. Pick a period and every bar re-lays for that period alone on the same scale as the whole game, so the three periods add up to it; a skater who did not play in it fades to the bottom.

NYI
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Calum RitchieF19:22+0.54Victor EklundF18:45+0.54Cole EisermanF18:25+0.23Vladimír DraveckýD18:39+0.17Ondrej PalatF18:21-0.12Tomas PoletinF9:34-0.13Luca RomanoF12:22-0.28Gleb VeremyevF11:14-0.35Marshall WarrenD16:44-0.37Kashawn AitchesonD22:40-0.38Joey LarsonF11:16-0.40Daniil ProkhorovF13:27-0.48Ethan BearD16:09-0.55Pierre EngvallF16:15-0.61Liam FoudyF14:52-0.75Isaiah GeorgeD19:16-1.07Matthew HighmoreF13:30-1.07Matthew KesselD21:20-1.31
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Tomas PoletinF9:34-0.13Ondrej PalatF10:31-0.15Calum RitchieF10:20-0.15Victor EklundF10:31-0.15Joey LarsonF10:10-0.25Luca RomanoF9:35-0.30Matthew KesselD15:34-0.32Isaiah GeorgeD14:38-0.34Gleb VeremyevF11:14-0.35Marshall WarrenD14:02-0.35Liam FoudyF11:29-0.41Kashawn AitchesonD14:56-0.42Matthew HighmoreF9:58-0.45Daniil ProkhorovF11:15-0.49Cole EisermanF9:57-0.54Pierre EngvallF9:44-0.56Vladimír DraveckýD12:03-0.57Ethan BearD12:00-0.61
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Victor EklundF5:00+0.80Calum RitchieF4:57+0.80Cole EisermanF4:55+0.80Vladimír DraveckýD5:17+0.74Ondrej PalatF3:46+0.51Kashawn AitchesonD2:13+0.15Isaiah GeorgeD0:07+0.10Ethan BearD1:54+0.06Pierre EngvallF2:22+0.05Luca RomanoF2:13+0.02Daniil ProkhorovF2:12+0.02
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Marshall WarrenD1:42+0.00Ethan BearD0:39+0.00Luca RomanoF0:34+0.00Pierre EngvallF2:40-0.10Kashawn AitchesonD2:54-0.12Calum RitchieF1:49-0.12Victor EklundF1:04-0.12Liam FoudyF2:10-0.20Ondrej PalatF1:53-0.48Matthew HighmoreF2:50-0.58Isaiah GeorgeD3:28-0.68Matthew KesselD4:02-0.80
NJD
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Riley TufteF15:11+1.18Connor BrownF18:58+0.91Xavier ParentF10:34+0.83Matyas MelovskyF14:20+0.78Vladislav KolyachonokD16:42+0.77Anton SilaevD16:52+0.71Ben SteevesF13:08+0.59Amadeus LombardiF20:39+0.58Lenni HameenahoF18:12+0.51Seamus CaseyD19:03+0.50Cody GlassF20:22+0.39Ethan EdwardsD18:43+0.31Colin WhiteF12:50+0.25Declan ChisholmD23:17+0.24Cam SquiresF11:39+0.02Ryan SchmelzerF9:13-0.04Shane LachanceF10:57-0.06Brenden DillonD19:36-0.40
0.50.5110Vladislav KolyachonokD13:50+0.87Anton SilaevD13:57+0.87Xavier ParentF9:34+0.83Matyas MelovskyF10:51+0.58Ben SteevesF10:16+0.50Riley TufteF10:12+0.50Ethan EdwardsD14:39+0.33Lenni HameenahoF10:43+0.33Ryan SchmelzerF7:43+0.32Seamus CaseyD12:47+0.31Colin WhiteF11:20+0.29Connor BrownF12:10+0.25Amadeus LombardiF11:50+0.24Declan ChisholmD13:59+0.12Brenden DillonD13:46+0.12Cody GlassF10:43+0.12Cam SquiresF10:54+0.08Shane LachanceF8:16-0.11
0.250.250.50.50.750.750Riley TufteF4:09+0.68Amadeus LombardiF4:01+0.68Connor BrownF3:46+0.68Declan ChisholmD3:35+0.58Cody GlassF3:29+0.58Matyas MelovskyF3:03+0.22Seamus CaseyD2:46+0.22Lenni HameenahoF2:19+0.12Shane LachanceF2:16+0.12Ben SteevesF1:34+0.12Ethan EdwardsD0:40+0.00Colin WhiteF0:07+0.00
0.250.250.50.50.750.750Xavier ParentF0:34+0.00Riley TufteF0:31+0.00Colin WhiteF0:34-0.04Seamus CaseyD2:11-0.06Ethan EdwardsD2:07-0.06Connor BrownF0:37-0.09Lenni HameenahoF3:32-0.09Vladislav KolyachonokD1:06-0.09Cam SquiresF0:06-0.10Anton SilaevD1:13-0.15Ryan SchmelzerF1:30-0.36Cody GlassF3:43-0.38Amadeus LombardiF2:26-0.45Declan ChisholmD3:46-0.61Brenden DillonD3:55-0.67

Lines & pairs

all · whole game · this game
most-used units · when they played · on-ice xG lines are by strength · 5v5 shown
strength
period
sort
How to read this

The units that actually played together most at the chosen strength — forward lines and defence pairs at 5v5, the whole group on the ice on the power play or the kill — each with when it was on the ice at that strength across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against / for while the whole unit was out, at that strength only. Sorted by time together; pick another key to re-order, and a name opens the player's page. Pick a period and the strip veils the rest of the game while the bars re-lay for that period alone, on the whole game's scale.

NYI
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
NJD
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF

Matchups

5v5 · this game
every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
order
NYI won the chances NJD won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
RittichWhiteTufteHameenahoBrownGlassLombardiParentMelovskySteevesSchmelzerLachanceSquiresKolyachonokSilaevDillonChisholmEdwardsCaseyGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3VanecekPalatRitchieEklundFoudyProkhorovLarsonEngvallHighmoreEisermanRomanoPoletinVeremyevKesselGeorgeBearAitchesonWarrenDravecký
How to read this

Rows are NYI's skaters, columns NJD's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.