xJawn NHL expected goals

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VAN 2 – 4 SEA

Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken

Final · Sep 19, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

On the ice
Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from VAN's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = VAN power play · PK = SEA power play · Leading = VAN ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

VAN attacks◀ all strengths
SEA attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: VAN attacks the left net, SEA the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 246 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from VAN's side and mirrored for SEA: “VAN PP” shows VAN's power-play attempts on the left and SEA's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · this game
VAN SEA
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 4
Expected goals
1.59 2.15
xG%share of xG
43% 57%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 0
Shots on goal
20 30
Attempts
41 63
xG by period · whole game 1st0.5–0.82nd0.6–0.43rd0.5–1.0

The Kraken beat the Canucks 4–2 at home in a game the chances called about even, VAN 1.6 to SEA 2.1 in expected goals. The Canucks power play made 0.9 xG on 10 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

all situations · this game
cumulative VAN − SEA xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1VAN AHEAD ▲SEA AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative VAN minus SEA expected goals. Above zero VAN is ahead on chances, below zero SEA is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Goals

this game
xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
VANBraeden Cootes 3rd11:09 0.10
VANArshdeep Bains 3rd15:51 PP 0.13
SEAJani Nyman 1st8:29 PP 0.07
SEATy Nelson 1st19:55 0.06
SEALogan Morrison 3rd0:42 PP 0.16
SEAJake O'Brien 3rd17:25 0.17
Who

Skaters

all · whole game · this game
on-ice xG for and against, his own attempts, the net
strength
period
sort
How to read this

Every skater: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time. The chart opens sorted by net, best first; pick another key to re-order it, and click the same key again to flip it. A name opens the player's page. Pick a period and every bar re-lays for that period alone on the same scale as the whole game, so the three periods add up to it; a skater who did not play in it fades to the bottom.

VAN
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Trey Fix-WolanskyF14:43+0.58Matt StienburgF11:16+0.49Adam NovotnyF15:05+0.35Max SassonF16:32+0.30Vilmer AlrikssonF9:11-0.01Sawyer MynioD16:54-0.11Chase WoutersF11:58-0.17Kirill KudryavtsevD21:49-0.19Elias PetterssonD19:07-0.26Braeden CootesF18:56-0.30Ilya SafonovF14:11-0.31Jimmy SchuldtD20:03-0.32Jonathan LekkerimakiF17:16-0.36Arshdeep BainsF18:59-0.40Aatu RätyF16:00-0.41Victor ManciniD20:28-0.43Guillaume BriseboisD17:04-0.48Riley PattersonF13:37-0.48
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Chase WoutersF9:41+0.04Matt StienburgF8:55+0.01Vilmer AlrikssonF9:09-0.01Trey Fix-WolanskyF12:49-0.06Guillaume BriseboisD13:44-0.17Elias PetterssonD16:34-0.20Victor ManciniD16:29-0.25Jimmy SchuldtD18:15-0.26Adam NovotnyF13:17-0.29Max SassonF11:43-0.30Aatu RätyF12:39-0.33Riley PattersonF12:48-0.48Braeden CootesF14:10-0.49Kirill KudryavtsevD17:03-0.53Ilya SafonovF11:10-0.55Jonathan LekkerimakiF13:10-0.60Arshdeep BainsF14:05-0.61Sawyer MynioD13:44-0.66
0.250.250.50.50.750.750Max SassonF2:02+0.64Trey Fix-WolanskyF1:54+0.64Adam NovotnyF1:48+0.64Matt StienburgF1:31+0.64Sawyer MynioD1:38+0.64Kirill KudryavtsevD3:03+0.24Braeden CootesF2:33+0.24Arshdeep BainsF2:31+0.24Ilya SafonovF2:30+0.24Jonathan LekkerimakiF2:51+0.24Guillaume BriseboisD0:02+0.00Vilmer AlrikssonF0:02+0.00Jimmy SchuldtD0:34-0.00Aatu RätyF0:20-0.00Riley PattersonF0:11-0.00
0.250.250.50.50Kirill KudryavtsevD0:09+0.00Max SassonF1:44-0.03Jimmy SchuldtD0:43-0.05Arshdeep BainsF0:45-0.07Braeden CootesF0:36-0.07Aatu RätyF2:00-0.08Elias PetterssonD1:43-0.10Matt StienburgF0:50-0.16Victor ManciniD2:41-0.16Chase WoutersF2:17-0.21Guillaume BriseboisD2:56-0.31
SEA
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Logan MorrisonF15:08+0.92Eduard SaleF13:12+0.65Jagger FirkusF14:51+0.65Cale FleuryD20:13+0.59Josh MahuraD19:21+0.53Jani NymanF14:14+0.48Freddy GaudreauF19:05+0.42Tyson JugnauthD18:58+0.40Jake O'BrienF14:47+0.39Ty NelsonD17:12+0.37Oscar Fisker MolgaardF17:28+0.23Julius MiettinenF12:28+0.11Lleyton RoedF12:55-0.11John HaydenF11:54-0.19Jacob MelansonF13:54-0.21Ben MeyersF14:56-0.32Ryan LindgrenD20:13-0.51Ville OttavainenD20:40-0.56
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Logan MorrisonF11:54+0.75Josh MahuraD15:45+0.65Cale FleuryD15:22+0.58Eduard SaleF11:42+0.50Jagger FirkusF11:55+0.47Freddy GaudreauF13:41+0.43Jacob MelansonF12:23+0.42Ben MeyersF12:21+0.38Ty NelsonD16:13+0.35Jani NymanF12:41+0.33Jake O'BrienF12:11+0.31Ryan LindgrenD16:37+0.26Tyson JugnauthD15:29+0.24Ville OttavainenD16:53+0.21Oscar Fisker MolgaardF12:48+0.10Julius MiettinenF10:05-0.01Lleyton RoedF10:50-0.06John HaydenF10:35-0.17
0.250.250Tyson JugnauthD2:36+0.16Logan MorrisonF2:25+0.16Jagger FirkusF2:24+0.16Freddy GaudreauF2:23+0.16Oscar Fisker MolgaardF2:23+0.16Julius MiettinenF1:36+0.15Jake O'BrienF1:35+0.15Jani NymanF1:33+0.15Cale FleuryD1:30+0.15Eduard SaleF1:30+0.15Josh MahuraD0:11+0.00Ben MeyersF0:10+0.00Jacob MelansonF0:08+0.00Lleyton RoedF0:06+0.00
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Jake O'BrienF0:13+0.00Logan MorrisonF0:02+0.00Jagger FirkusF0:02+0.00Ty NelsonD0:01+0.00Tyson JugnauthD0:01+0.00Julius MiettinenF0:01+0.00John HaydenF1:19-0.01Lleyton RoedF1:19-0.01Oscar Fisker MolgaardF1:49-0.11Cale FleuryD1:40-0.11Josh MahuraD1:36-0.11Freddy GaudreauF1:45-0.24Ben MeyersF1:32-0.63Jacob MelansonF1:23-0.63Ville OttavainenD3:06-0.77Ryan LindgrenD3:00-0.77

Lines & pairs

all · whole game · this game
most-used units · when they played · on-ice xG lines are by strength · 5v5 shown
strength
period
sort
How to read this

The units that actually played together most at the chosen strength — forward lines and defence pairs at 5v5, the whole group on the ice on the power play or the kill — each with when it was on the ice at that strength across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against / for while the whole unit was out, at that strength only. Sorted by time together; pick another key to re-order, and a name opens the player's page. Pick a period and the strip veils the rest of the game while the bars re-lay for that period alone, on the whole game's scale.

VAN
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
SEA
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF

Matchups

5v5 · this game
every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
order
VAN won the chances SEA won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
DaccordKokkoGaudreauNymanFisker MolgaardMelansonMeyersO'BrienMorrisonFirkusSaleHaydenMiettinenRoedLindgrenOttavainenMahuraFleuryNelsonJugnauthGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3TolopiloBainsLekkerimakiCootesRätySassonPattersonFix-WolanskySafonovNovotnyWoutersStienburgAlrikssonPetterssonManciniSchuldtMynioBriseboisKudryavtsev
How to read this

Rows are VAN's skaters, columns SEA's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.