xJawn NHL expected goals

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VAN 2 4 SEA

Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken

Final · Sep 19, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from VAN's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = VAN power play · PK = SEA power play · Leading = VAN ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

VAN attacks◀ all strengths
SEA attacksall strengths ▶
× goal on net missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: VAN attacks the left net, SEA the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2025-26 regular season, 1312 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from VAN's side and mirrored for SEA: “VAN PP” shows VAN's power-play attempts on the left and SEA's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · preseason
VAN SEA
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
2 4
Expected goals
1.59 2.15
xG%share of xG
43% 57%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 0
Shots on goal
20 30
Attempts
41 63
xG by period · whole game 1st0.50.82nd0.60.43rd0.51.0

The Kraken beat the Canucks 4–2 at home in a game the chances called about even, VAN 1.6 to SEA 2.1 in expected goals. The Canucks power play made 0.9 xG on 10 attempts.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

cumulative VAN − SEA xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+0.5−0.5+1−1VAN AHEAD ▲SEA AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative VAN minus SEA expected goals. Above zero VAN is ahead on chances, below zero SEA is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Skaters

on-ice xG · sorted by net · one game
How to read this

Every skater, sorted by net on-ice expected goals: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time.

VAN
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Trey Fix-WolanskyF14:43+0.58Matthew StienburgF11:16+0.49Adam NovotnyF15:05+0.35Max SassonF16:32+0.30Vilmer AlrikssonF9:11-0.01Sawyer MynioD16:54-0.11Chase WoutersF11:58-0.17Kirill KudryavtsevD21:49-0.19Elias PetterssonD19:07-0.26Braeden CootesF18:56-0.30Ilya SafonovF14:11-0.31Jimmy SchuldtD20:03-0.32Jonathan LekkerimäkiF17:16-0.36Arshdeep BainsF18:59-0.40Aatu RätyF16:00-0.41Victor ManciniD20:28-0.43Guillaume BriseboisD17:04-0.48Riley PattersonF13:37-0.48
SEA
against for own net ice time
0.250.250.50.50.750.75110Logan MorrisonF15:08+0.92Eduard SaleF13:12+0.65Jagger FirkusF14:51+0.65Cale FleuryD20:13+0.59Joshua MahuraD19:21+0.53Jani NymanF14:14+0.48Frederick GaudreauF19:05+0.42Tyson JugnauthD18:58+0.40Jake O'BrienF14:47+0.39Ty NelsonD17:12+0.37Oscar Fisker MolgaardF17:28+0.23Julius MiettinenF12:28+0.11Lleyton RoedF12:55-0.11John HaydenF11:54-0.19Jacob MelansonF13:54-0.21Ben MeyersF14:56-0.32Ryan LindgrenD20:13-0.51Ville OttavainenD20:40-0.56

Lines & pairs

most-used 5v5 units · when they played · on-ice xG
How to read this

The forward lines and defence pairs that actually played together most at 5v5, each with when it was on the ice across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against/for while the whole unit was out.

VAN
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Arshdeep BainsJonathan LekkerimäkiBraeden Cootes14:18-0.25L2Aatu RätyMax SassonRiley Patterson9:16-0.29L3Trey Fix-WolanskyIlya SafonovAdam Novotny8:40-0.18L4Chase WoutersMatthew StienburgVilmer Alriksson6:10+0.01DEFENCE PAIRSD1Elias PetterssonVictor Mancini14:43-0.10D2Jimmy SchuldtSawyer Mynio9:36-0.25D3Guillaume BriseboisKirill Kudryavtsev8:53-0.051ST2ND3RD011
SEA
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
FORWARD LINESL1Frederick GaudreauJani NymanOscar Fisker Molgaard10:28+0.10L2Jacob MelansonBen MeyersJake O'Brien9:54+0.35L3Logan MorrisonJagger FirkusEduard Sale9:28+0.42L4John HaydenJulius MiettinenLleyton Roed8:20-0.06DEFENCE PAIRSD1Ryan LindgrenVille Ottavainen19:23-0.54D2Joshua MahuraCale Fleury18:00+0.50D3Ty NelsonTyson Jugnauth15:20+0.261ST2ND3RD011

Goals

xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
VANBraeden Cootes 3rd11:09 0.10
VANArshdeep Bains 3rd15:51 PP 0.13
SEAJani Nyman 1st8:29 PP 0.07
SEATy Nelson 1st19:55 0.06
SEALogan Morrison 3rd0:42 PP 0.16
SEAJake O'Brien 3rd17:25 0.17